Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 29

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Globoplay, Premiere
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TV Globo Internacional


	Fluminense		Coritiba

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.2	7	Watch
	1.47	4.60	6.50
	1.45	4.05	6.8
	1.48	4.68	7.22
	1.47	4.77	6.3
	1.46	4.6	7.05
	1.49	4.49	6.76	Watch
	1.46	4.4	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.49)	4.47 ↑ (4.18)	6.75 ↑ (6.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fluminense
64.7%

Draw
21.2%

Coritiba
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

22.4%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

21.6%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Fluminense - Coritiba Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Fluminense (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Fluminense will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 9th in the Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

In this match, Fluminense enters as the overwhelming favorite.

Confirmed absences for Fluminense: Alisson (Hip Injury) Cano G. (Hamstring Injury) Canobbio A. (Yellow Cards) Guga (Inactive) John Kennedy (Knee Injury) Matheus Reis (Knee Injury) Nonato (Yellow Cards).

Confirmed absences for Coritiba: Jacy (Inactive) Keno (Knee Injury) Lucas Ronier (Knee Injury) Ocampo B. (Ankle Injury) Tinga (Muscle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Fluminense: Ignacio (Hamstring Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Coritiba: Joao Pedro Chermont (Inactive).

In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Fluminense has recorded 7 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 32:23 (averaging 1.7:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Fluminense against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, with 19:8 goals (averaging 2.1:0.9 per game).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie A for now

Fluminense: 0.66% Coritiba: 0.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	44:36	8	48
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	37:43	-6	38

Last Results with these Odds

Fluminense - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 62.88%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fluminense RJ
Brazilian Serie A
20.09.26	Corinthians - Fluminense	1:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
15.09.26	Platense - Fluminense	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
12.09.26	Atlético Mineiro - Fluminense	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.09.26	Fluminense - Platense	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
05.09.26	Fluminense - Vasco da Gama	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLWW
- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie A
19.09.26	Vasco da Gama - Coritiba	5:0 ✺
11.09.26	Coritiba - Athletico Paranaense	3:3 ✺
06.09.26	Coritiba - Mirassol	1:2 ✺
31.08.26	Remo - Coritiba	2:3 ✺
23.08.26	Coritiba - Corinthians	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
04.04.26	Coritiba - Fluminense	1:1
25.11.23	Fluminense - Coritiba	2:1
24.07.23	Coritiba - Fluminense	2:0
20.08.22	Fluminense - Coritiba	5:2
01.05.22	Coritiba - Fluminense	3:2
20.01.21	Coritiba - Fluminense	3:3
28.09.20	Fluminense - Coritiba	4:0

Upcoming Matches