Match Info

National League - Round 33

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: The New Lawn (Nailsworth)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	DAZN
Argentina	DAZN
Australia	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Colombia	DAZN
Croatia	DAZN
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Hong-kong	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN
India	DAZN
Indonesia	DAZN
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	DAZN
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
Malaysia	DAZN
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	DAZN
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN
Paraguay	DAZN
Philippines	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	DAZN
Russia	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN
South-korea	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Ukraine	DAZN
United-arab-emirates	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN
Vietnam	DAZN


	Forest Green Rovers		Carlisle United

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.6	3.7
	1.85	3.65	3.7
	1.86	3.91	3.82
	1.92	3.65	3.66	Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.7
	1.8	3.64	3.71	Watch
	1.83	3.8	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.84)	3.69 ↑ (3.61)	3.73 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Forest Green Rovers
50.1%

Draw
25.1%

Carlisle United
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

25.4%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

24.5%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forest Green Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Forest Green Rovers - Carlisle United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Isted H. (G) 47. Ahmed A. 6. Mendy L. (C) 32. Kanu A. 24. Buyabu J. 18. Campbell T. 26. Nwoko C. 7. McAllister K. 8. Haughton N. 14. Clarke J. 45. Rees R.	1. Breeze G. (G) 22. Williams J. 26. Mugabi B. 5. Feeney M. (C) 12. Galvin R. 37. Macadam H. 20. Gilliead A. 7. Ajiboye D. 16. Wearne S. 14. Embleton E. 29. Armstrong L.
Substitutes
27. Babalola T. 3. Kengni N. 25. Kircough G. 11. Knowles T. 19. Mingi J. J. 43. Osude J. 12. Pagel F. (G)	38. Conn-Clarke C. 18. Ellis J. 3. Harper C. 13. Mair A. (G) 30. Parker H. 4. Thomas T. 23. Wyke Ch.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
6', Haughton N. 🟨,
11', 0 - 1, Wearne S. ⚽, Armstrong L. (A),
22', 0 - 2, Feeney M. ⚽, Ajiboye D. (A),
26', Haughton N. ↓, Osude J. ↑,
29', 0 - 3, Ajiboye D. ⚽,
39', Williams J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Clarke J. ↓, Kircough G. ↑,
46', Kanu A. ↓, Mingi J. J. ↑,
52', 1 - 3, Mingi J. J. ⚽,
57', Ahmed A. ↓, Knowles T. ↑,
65', Embleton E. ↓, Thomas T. ↑,
66', Feeney M. 🟨,
78', Wearne S. ↓, Ellis J. ↑,
86', Williams J. ↓, Harper C. ↑,
86', Ajiboye D. ↓, Parker H. ↑,
89', Kircough G. 🟨,
90', Ellis J. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forest Green won 4.

Forest Green has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Carlisle has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Forest Green may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Forest Green is a strong favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Forest Green won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Forest Green won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Carlisle	13	4	5	4	23:20	3	17
16	Forest Green	12	4	3	5	19:22	-3	15

Last Results with these Odds

Forest Green Rovers - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 49.97%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forest Green Rovers
English National League
11.02.26	Rochdale - Forest Green Rovers	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	York City - Forest Green Rovers	2:1 ✺
03.02.26	Forest Green Rovers - Woking	4:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
31.01.26	Forest Green Rovers - Wealdstone	0:3 ✺
English National League
24.01.26	Scunthorpe United - Forest Green Rovers	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLL
- Carlisle United
English National League
10.02.26	Carlisle United - Scunthorpe United	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	Rochdale - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Carlisle United - Altrincham	3:1 ✺
21.01.26	Carlisle United - York City	0:3 ✺
17.01.26	Solihull Moors - Carlisle United	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
18.10.25	Carlisle United - Forest Green Rovers	4:2
English League Two
22.01.22	Forest Green Rovers - Carlisle United	3:0
02.10.21	Carlisle United - Forest Green Rovers	0:2
02.02.21	Carlisle United - Forest Green Rovers	1:2
19.12.20	Forest Green Rovers - Carlisle United	1:0
28.01.20	Forest Green Rovers - Carlisle United	1:4
English FA Cup
10.12.19	Carlisle United - Forest Green Rovers	1:0

Forest Green Rovers - Carlisle United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide