Match Info

National League - Round 30

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Brunton Park (Carlisle)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Carlisle United		Altrincham

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.1	5.75
	1.52	4.25	5.3
	1.5	4.55	6.07
	1.51	4.37	5.65	Watch
	1.5	4	5.5
	1.51	4.19	5.88
	1.47	4.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.53)	4.28 ↑ (4.11)	5.74 ↑ (5.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlisle United
62.1%

Draw
21.7%

Altrincham
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

22.4%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

22%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Altrincham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altrincham than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Carlisle United - Altrincham Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Carlisle United will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Breeze G. (G) 12. Galvin R. 5. Feeney M. (C) 26. Mugabi B. 22. Williams J. 37. Macadam H. 20. Gilliead A. 7. Ajiboye D. 14. Embleton E. 10. Linney R. 29. Armstrong L.	30. Hutchinson L. (G) 14. Kosylo M. 34. Sassi D. 5. Cooper J. 33. Jones E. 28. Humbles L. 8. Marriott I. 11. Knowles J. 22. Crawford T. (C) 10. Khan O. 7. Crankshaw O.
Substitutes
18. Ellis J. 3. Harper C. 6. Hayden A. 9. Kelly G. 13. Mair A. (G) 16. Wearne S. 23. Wyke Ch.	25. Bailey J. 27. Fallon L. (G) 26. Forde A. 23. Golden T. 40. Kirk C. 20. Reddin K. 17. Weaver L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
25', Kosylo M. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Ajiboye D. ⚽, Feeney M. (A),
31', 2 - 0, Armstrong L. ⚽, Ajiboye D. (A),
34', 3 - 0, Sassi D. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Khan O. ↓, Golden T. ↑,
49', Williams J. 🟨,
52', Kosylo M. ↓, Reddin K. ↑,
54', Golden T. 🟨,
69', 3 - 1, Knowles J. ⚽, Golden T. (A),
72', Williams J. ↓, Ellis J. ↑,
72', Embleton E. ↓, Wearne S. ↑,
80', Ajiboye D. ↓, Kelly G. ↑,
82', Linney R. 🟨,
86', Knowles J. ↓, Weaver L. ↑,
86', Forde A. ↓, Humbles L. ↑,
86', Marriott I. ↓, Kirk C. ↑,
90+1', Armstrong L. ↓, Wyke Ch. ↑,
90+2', Linney R. ↓, Harper C. ↑,
90+4', Cooper J. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17).

Carlisle has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Altrincham's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Altrincham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Carlisle is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carlisle won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Altrincham	13	8	0	5	20:19	1	24
14	Carlisle	13	4	5	4	23:20	3	17

Last Results with these Odds

Carlisle United - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 60.01%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlisle United
English National League
21.01.26	Carlisle United - York City	0:3 ✺
17.01.26	Solihull Moors - Carlisle United	3:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
10.01.26	Chatham Town - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
English National League
03.01.26	Carlisle United - Wealdstone	2:0 ✺
30.12.25	Carlisle United - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTLWW
- Altrincham
English National League
24.01.26	Altrincham - Boreham Wood	3:1 ✺
21.01.26	Forest Green Rovers - Altrincham	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Hartlepool United - Altrincham	1:0 ✺
30.12.25	Altrincham - York City	1:2 ✺
26.12.25	Halifax Town - Altrincham	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
20.09.25	Altrincham - Carlisle United	1:2

Carlisle United - Altrincham: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide