Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 7

Date: 9 September 2023, Saturday

Location: The New Lawn (Nailsworth)

Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)


	Forest Green Rovers		Crewe Alexandra

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.25
	2.2	3.45	3.25
	2.24	3.49	3.33
	2	3.3	3.1
	2.17	3.54	3.18	Watch
	2.17	3.4	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.4)	3.43 ↓ (3.45)	3.2 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forest Green Rovers
43.4%

Draw
27.3%

Crewe Alexandra
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

27.7%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

28.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forest Green Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	8.3%	58.3%

Forest Green Rovers - Crewe Alexandra Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Forest Green will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Crewe will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Daniels L. (G) 3. Bernard D. (C) 5. Inniss R. 22. Welch R. 12. Robson J. 7. McAllister K. 27. Bunker H. 29. Brown R. 16. Kadji D. 10. Taylor M. 14. Deeney T.	1. Davies H. (G) 6. Offord L. (C) 15. O'Riordan C. 5. Demetriou M. 21. Rowe A. 11. Tabiner J. 8. Thomas C. 23. Powell J. 3. Adebisi R. 9. Baker-Richardson C. 7. Long Ch.
Substitutes
99. Bendle A. 25. Dabo F. 6. Jenks T. 4. Johnson D. 23. Omotoye T. 20. Searle J. (G) 9. Stevens M.	13. Booth T. (G) 2. Cooney R. 24. Finney C. 19. Lunt O. 20. Nevitt E. 30. White J. 4. Williams Z.
Coaches
Horseman D.	Bell L.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 18 and 11).

Recent matches Forest Green is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Crewe is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Crewe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Forest Green will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Forest Green won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forest Green Rovers
English EFL Trophy
05.09.23	Forest Green Rovers - Shrewsbury Town	3:0 ✺
English League Two
02.09.23	Sutton United - Forest Green Rovers	0:1 ✺
26.08.23	AFC Wimbledon - Forest Green Rovers	1:1 ✺
19.08.23	Forest Green Rovers - Newport County	0:3 ✺
15.08.23	Forest Green Rovers - Swindon Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWTLL
- Crewe Alexandra
English EFL Trophy
05.09.23	Port Vale - Crewe Alexandra	1:0 ✺
English League Two
02.09.23	Crewe Alexandra - Milton Keynes Dons	3:1 ✺
English League Cup
29.08.23	Port Vale - Crewe Alexandra	1:0 penalties ✺
English League Two
26.08.23	Bradford City - Crewe Alexandra	1:0 ✺
19.08.23	Crewe Alexandra - Walsall	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
26.11.19	Forest Green Rovers - Crewe Alexandra	0:0
27.04.19	Crewe Alexandra - Forest Green Rovers	4:3
22.12.18	Forest Green Rovers - Crewe Alexandra	1:0
20.03.18	Crewe Alexandra - Forest Green Rovers	3:1
18.11.17	Forest Green Rovers - Crewe Alexandra	3:2

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