Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL TROPHY

Date: 5 September 2023, Tuesday

Location: The New Lawn (Nailsworth)

Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)


	Forest Green Rovers		Shrewsbury Town

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.8
	2.91	3.3	2.44
	2.3	3.2	2.62
	2.83	3.4	2.34
	2.72	3.3	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.45)	3.26 ↓ (3.4)	2.52 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forest Green Rovers
35.1%

Draw
28.3%

Shrewsbury Town
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

26.5%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

26.4%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	30%	40%

Forest Green Rovers - Shrewsbury Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Forest Green will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Shrewsbury will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shrewsbury: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Searle J. (G) 32. Carter J. 4. Johnson D. 22. Welch R. 17. Robson J. 12. Bendle A. 27. Bunker H. 6. Jenks T. 16. Kadji D. 9. Stevens M. (C) 23. Omotoye T.	13. Burgoyne H. (G) 33. Flanagan T. 22. Dunkley C. (C) 6. Sraha J. 15. Sobowale T. 8. Finnigan R. 14. Perry T. 17. Bennett E. 25. Fleming B. 11. Udoh D. 27. Mata M.
Substitutes
44. Bennett M. 50. Hughes I. 47. Mason P. 34. McKenzie Z. 41. Pagel F. (G) 38. Sanniola K. 24. Sully O.	4. Anderson J. 20. Bayliss T. 3. Benning M. 9. Bowman R. 1. Marosi M. (G) 10. Phillips K. 7. Winchester C.
Coaches
Horseman D.	Taylor M.

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Forest Green won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forest Green Rovers
English League Two
02.09.23	Sutton United - Forest Green Rovers	0:1 ✺
26.08.23	AFC Wimbledon - Forest Green Rovers	1:1 ✺
19.08.23	Forest Green Rovers - Newport County	0:3 ✺
15.08.23	Forest Green Rovers - Swindon Town	1:2 ✺
12.08.23	Harrogate Town - Forest Green Rovers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTLLW
- Shrewsbury Town
English League One
02.09.23	Carlisle United - Shrewsbury Town	2:0 ✺
26.08.23	Fleetwood Town - Shrewsbury Town	0:1 ✺
19.08.23	Shrewsbury Town - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
15.08.23	Shrewsbury Town - Burton Albion	2:1 ✺
12.08.23	Stevenage Borough - Shrewsbury Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
28.01.23	Shrewsbury Town - Forest Green Rovers	2:1
03.09.22	Forest Green Rovers - Shrewsbury Town	0:2

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