Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 27

Date: 6 January 2024, Saturday

Location: One Call Stadium (Mansfield)

Referee: Edwards M. (Eng)


	Mansfield Town		Crewe Alexandra

	1	X	2
	1.4	5	7
	1.4	4.8	6.75
	1.38	5	7.5	Watch
	1.39	5.2	7.67
	1.4	5.2	7.67
	1.36	4.75	7
	1.39	5	7.21	Watch
	1.39	4.8	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.52)	4.97 ↑ (4.29)	7.18 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mansfield Town
67.9%

Draw
19%

Crewe Alexandra
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

21.8%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

21.2%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mansfield Town's performance.

Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	14.3%	7.1%

Mansfield Town - Crewe Alexandra Predictions

Users Predictions: Mansfield Town will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pym C. (G) 25. Reed L. 14. Flint A. (C) 6. Cargill B. 9. Bowery J. 40. Keillor-Dunn D. 10. Maris G. 16. Quinn S. 24. Brunt L. 3. McLaughlin S. 7. Akins L.	13. Booth T. (G) 28. Billington L. 15. O'Riordan C. 6. Offord L. (C) 5. Demetriou M. 3. Adebisi R. 21. Rowe A. 30. White J. 8. Thomas C. 9. Baker-Richardson C. 7. Long Ch.
Substitutes
28. Abdullah M. 44. Boateng H. 8. Clarke O. 13. Flinders S. (G) 15. Lewis A. 26. Swan W. 22. Williams G.	33. Agius C. 2. Cooney R. 1. Davies H. (G) 29. Kempster-Down Z. 20. Nevitt E. 35. Robinson N. 10. Tracey S.
Coaches
Clough N.	Bell L.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mansfield won 1.

Mansfield in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Crewe is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Crewe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mansfield is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Mansfield to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Mansfield won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Mansfield won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mansfield Town
English League Two
01.01.24	Stockport County - Mansfield Town	0:2 ✺
29.12.23	Mansfield Town - Doncaster Rovers	1:1 ✺
26.12.23	Mansfield Town - Grimsby Town	2:0 ✺
23.12.23	Sutton United - Mansfield Town	0:2 ✺
16.12.23	Crawley Town - Mansfield Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTWWW
- Crewe Alexandra
English League Two
01.01.24	Crewe Alexandra - Bradford City	1:0 ✺
29.12.23	Newport County - Crewe Alexandra	1:1 ✺
26.12.23	Walsall - Crewe Alexandra	2:0 ✺
22.12.23	Crewe Alexandra - Barrow	1:3 ✺
16.12.23	Crewe Alexandra - Accrington Stanley	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
05.08.23	Crewe Alexandra - Mansfield Town	2:2
14.01.23	Mansfield Town - Crewe Alexandra	1:1
24.09.22	Crewe Alexandra - Mansfield Town	1:2
14.12.19	Crewe Alexandra - Mansfield Town	1:1
English EFL Trophy
08.10.19	Mansfield Town - Crewe Alexandra	1:2 penalties
English League Two
23.03.19	Mansfield Town - Crewe Alexandra	1:2
30.10.18	Crewe Alexandra - Mansfield Town	0:3

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