Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 29

Date: 23 January 2024, Tuesday

Location: One Call Stadium (Mansfield)

Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)


	Mansfield Town		Sutton United

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.5	8
	1.33	5	8.5
	1.33	5.5	8.5	Watch
	1.32	4.7	6.7
	1.33	5.66	9.2
	1.3	5	8
	1.34	5.1	8.1	Watch
	1.33	5	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.31)	5.18 ↓ (5.29)	8.08 ↓ (8.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mansfield Town
70.4%

Draw
18%

Sutton United
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.5%

17.7%

10.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.8%

16.9%

10.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Mansfield Town - Sutton United Predictions

Users Predictions: Mansfield Town will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pym C. (G) 24. Brunt L. 14. Flint A. (C) 6. Cargill B. 9. Bowery J. 15. Lewis A. 25. Reed L. 16. Quinn S. 10. Maris G. 7. Akins L. 40. Keillor-Dunn D.	21. Bouzanis D. (G) 23. Jackson R. 4. Sowunmi O. 5. Goodliffe B. 22. Kizzi J. 3. Adom-Malaki S. 8. N'Guessan C. 15. Eastmond C. (C) 38. Sanderson O. 31. Lakin C. 33. Angol L.
Substitutes
44. Boateng H. 8. Clarke O. 13. Flinders S. (G) 3. McLaughlin S. 35. O'Toole J. J. 26. Swan W. 22. Williams G.	25. Arnold S. (G) 10. Beautyman H. 7. Coley J. 42. Hart S. 6. John L. 27. Moore D. 11. Patrick O.
Coaches
Clough N.	Morison S.

Preview

Postponed due to bad weather. Event will be played on 23.1. 20:45.

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Mansfield is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mansfield won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Mansfield won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mansfield Town
English League Two
13.01.24	Morecambe - Mansfield Town	1:1 ✺
06.01.24	Mansfield Town - Crewe Alexandra	0:1 ✺
01.01.24	Stockport County - Mansfield Town	0:2 ✺
29.12.23	Mansfield Town - Doncaster Rovers	1:1 ✺
26.12.23	Mansfield Town - Grimsby Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLWTW
- Sutton United
English League Two
13.01.24	Sutton United - Barrow	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
06.01.24	Plymouth Argyle - Sutton United	3:1 ✺
English League Two
01.01.24	Sutton United - Newport County	1:1 ✺
29.12.23	Gillingham - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
26.12.23	AFC Wimbledon - Sutton United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
23.12.23	Sutton United - Mansfield Town	0:2
25.03.23	Mansfield Town - Sutton United	0:0
27.08.22	Sutton United - Mansfield Town	2:1
15.04.22	Mansfield Town - Sutton United	2:3
23.11.21	Sutton United - Mansfield Town	2:0

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