Match Info

National League - Round 13

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Jakemans Community Stadium (Boston)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Boston United		Forest Green Rovers

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.9	1.5
	5.5	3.95	1.55
	5.86	3.96	1.58
	6.95	1.74	2.82	Watch
	5.52	3.84	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.92 ↑ (4.65)	3.48 ↓ (3.75)	1.8 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston United
16.7%

Draw
28.4%

Forest Green Rovers
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.8%

24.6%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

23.6%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston United than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	27.3%	72.7%

Boston United - Forest Green Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Forest Green will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Forest Green: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Forest Green (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Forest Green (1.89) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Forest Green (votes: 6 - 75%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lovett R. (G) 15. Carson M. 32. Cropper J. 23. Hampson E. 8. Hill D. 14. John-Lewis L. N. 17. Lankshear A. 5. Mills Z. (C) 19. Richards J. 6. Sloggett G. 4. Teale C.	1. McNicholas L. (G) 26. Balagizi J. 20. Bamba Y. 5. Inniss R. 3. Kengni N. 11. Knowles T. 7. McAllister K. 6. Mendy L. 29. Mitchell K. 15. Moore-Taylor J. (C) 21. Pemberton T.
Substitutes
7. Coyle R. 11. Donnelly K. 18. Fogarty T. 2. Grist B. 16. Hiwula J. 21. Jones B. (G) 3. Kelly M.	16. Bunker H. 24. Buyabu J. 14. Clarke J. 9. Doidge C. 8. Haughton N. 37. Marquez J. 12. Pagel F. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Hampson O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bamba Y. ↓, Haughton N. ↑,
49', Knowles T. ↓, Buyabu J. ↑,
60', McAllister K. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
61', Hampson O. ↓, Donnelly K. ↑,
62', John-Lewis L. N. ↓, Hiwula J. ↑,
69', Kengni N. ↓, Doidge C. ↑,
69', Balagizi J. ↓, Bunker H. ↑,
83', Carson M. ↓, Kelly M. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).

Recent performances by Boston United have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Forest Green is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Forest Green may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Forest Green is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Boston United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Boston United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Last Results with these Odds

Forest Green Rovers - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.64%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston United
English National League
27.09.25	Sutton United - Boston United	1:1 ✺
24.09.25	Boston United - Braintree Town	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Boston United - Boreham Wood	0:2 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Boston United - Sunderland U21	4:0 ✺
English National League
13.09.25	Southend United - Boston United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TWLWT
- Forest Green Rovers
English National League
27.09.25	Forest Green Rovers - York City	1:1 ✺
23.09.25	Altrincham - Forest Green Rovers	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Woking - Forest Green Rovers	0:2 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Forest Green Rovers - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	3:2 ✺
English National League
13.09.25	Forest Green Rovers - Scunthorpe United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
14.12.24	Forest Green Rovers - Boston United	1:0
17.08.24	Boston United - Forest Green Rovers	0:4

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