Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 33

Date: 18 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Portman Road (Ipswich)

Referee: Brook C. (Eng)


	Ipswich Town		Forest Green Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	8.5
	1.32	5	9.75
	1.28	5.65	10
	1.33	5.21	10.09
	1.3	4.8	11
	1.29	5.25	11	Watch
	1.32	5.2	9.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↑ (1.3)	5.19 ↓ (5.4)	9.99 ↑ (8.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ipswich Town
72.3%

Draw
18.2%

Forest Green Rovers
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.9%

17.4%

10.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.1%

16.4%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	0%	18.7%

Ipswich Town - Forest Green Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: Ipswich Town will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs) and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Ipswich has the most likely position - 4 (20.56%), has project points - 84, has currently - 57, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (77%), has a chance of promoted (27%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Forest Green has the most likely position - 24 (75.45%), has project points - 33, has currently - 22, has a very good chance of relegated (99%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

This event has small quality 14, small importance 15, small match rating 15. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Ipswich is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Forest Green has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ipswich could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ipswich is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ipswich won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ipswich Town
English League One
14.02.23	Bristol Rovers - Ipswich Town	0:0 ✺
11.02.23	Ipswich Town - Sheffield Wednesday	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
07.02.23	Burnley - Ipswich Town	2:1 ✺
English League One
04.02.23	Cambridge United - Ipswich Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
28.01.23	Ipswich Town - Burnley	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TTLTT
- Forest Green Rovers
English League One
14.02.23	Forest Green Rovers - Charlton Athletic	0:1 ✺
11.02.23	Morecambe - Forest Green Rovers	1:1 ✺
04.02.23	Forest Green Rovers - Peterborough United	0:2 ✺
28.01.23	Shrewsbury Town - Forest Green Rovers	2:1 ✺
24.01.23	Bolton Wanderers - Forest Green Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
06.08.22	Forest Green Rovers - Ipswich Town	1:2

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