Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 12

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday

Location: The Wham Stadium (Accrington)

Referee: Atkinson B. (Eng)


	Accrington Stanley		Forest Green Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.75	3.1
	2.1	3.6	3.1
	2.15	3.6	3.1
	2.22	3.86	3.09
	2.1	3.6	3.2
	2.14	3.68	3.1	Watch
	2.06	3.6	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.08)	3.67 ↑ (3.5)	3.12 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Accrington Stanley
44.2%

Draw
25.7%

Forest Green Rovers
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

26.7%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

24.9%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Forest Green Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	13.3%	6.7%

Accrington Stanley - Forest Green Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: Accrington Stanley will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. McCracken J. (G) 9. Lowe M. 5. Hills B. 16. Gubbins J. 14. Longelo-Mbule R. 22. Martin D. 8. Woods B. 17. Nolan J. 10. Pritchard J. (C) 7. Whalley S. 19. Andrews J.	31. Belshaw J. (G) 3. Bernard D. (C) 5. Inniss R. 22. Welch R. 17. Robson J. 27. Bunker H. 8. McCann C. 7. McAllister K. 10. Taylor M. 19. Robertson S. 14. Deeney T.
Substitutes
55. Adedoyin K. 61. McIntyre J. (G) 4. Mellor K. 38. O'Brien C. 25. Pickles A. 2. Shipley L. 39. Woods J.	25. Dabo F. 6. Jenks T. 4. Johnson D. 18. Maddox J. 39. Morton C. 20. Searle J. (G) 9. Stevens M.
Coaches
Coleman J.	Horseman D.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 15 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).

Accrington is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Forest Green has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Accrington will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Accrington won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Accrington won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Accrington Stanley
English League Two
03.10.23	Morecambe - Accrington Stanley	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	Accrington Stanley - Stockport County	1:3 ✺
23.09.23	Tranmere Rovers - Accrington Stanley	2:0 ✺
16.09.23	Accrington Stanley - Sutton United	4:1 ✺
09.09.23	Accrington Stanley - Mansfield Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLWL
- Forest Green Rovers
English League Two
03.10.23	Stockport County - Forest Green Rovers	2:0 ✺
30.09.23	Forest Green Rovers - Morecambe	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Notts County - Forest Green Rovers	4:3 ✺
16.09.23	Forest Green Rovers - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 ✺
09.09.23	Forest Green Rovers - Crewe Alexandra	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
04.03.23	Accrington Stanley - Forest Green Rovers	2:1
06.09.22	Forest Green Rovers - Accrington Stanley	2:1
English League Two
17.03.18	Accrington Stanley - Forest Green Rovers	2:1
30.09.17	Forest Green Rovers - Accrington Stanley	0:1

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