Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 34

Date: 25 February 2023, Saturday

Location: The New Lawn (Nailsworth)

Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)


	Forest Green Rovers		Lincoln City

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.63
	2.75	3.1	2.6
	2.8	3.3	2.55
	2.83	3.23	2.71
	2.8	3.1	2.55
	2.8	3.13	2.64	Watch
	2.75	3.15	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.62)	3.17 ↓ (3.22)	2.6 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forest Green Rovers
33.9%

Draw
29.8%

Lincoln City
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

28.9%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

28.3%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	27.3%	54.5%

Forest Green Rovers - Lincoln City Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Forest Green will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Lincoln will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Forest Green has the most likely position - 24 (86.72%), has project points - 32, has currently - 22, has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Lincoln has the most likely position - 11 (14.35%), has project points - 61, has currently - 39, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 12, very small importance 3, very small match rating 7. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 0.

Forest Green has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lincoln is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 28-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Forest Green won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forest Green Rovers
English League One
18.02.23	Ipswich Town - Forest Green Rovers	4:0 ✺
14.02.23	Forest Green Rovers - Charlton Athletic	0:1 ✺
11.02.23	Morecambe - Forest Green Rovers	1:1 ✺
04.02.23	Forest Green Rovers - Peterborough United	0:2 ✺
28.01.23	Shrewsbury Town - Forest Green Rovers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTLL
- Lincoln City
English League One
18.02.23	Lincoln City - Portsmouth	0:0 ✺
14.02.23	Derby County - Lincoln City	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Lincoln City - Bristol Rovers	1:0 ✺
04.02.23	Accrington Stanley - Lincoln City	0:3 ✺
28.01.23	Lincoln City - Cambridge United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
13.08.22	Lincoln City - Forest Green Rovers	1:1
English FA Cup
07.11.20	Lincoln City - Forest Green Rovers	6:2
English League Two
02.03.19	Forest Green Rovers - Lincoln City	1:2
03.11.18	Lincoln City - Forest Green Rovers	2:1
30.12.17	Lincoln City - Forest Green Rovers	2:1
12.09.17	Forest Green Rovers - Lincoln City	0:1
English National League
25.03.17	Lincoln City - Forest Green Rovers	3:1

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