The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Luton Town 59.9%
Draw 25.9%
Forest Green Rovers 14.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.4%
21.1%
18.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.7%
20.3%
17.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90.9%
0%
9.1%
Luton Town - Forest Green Rovers Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -1.5 - Luton (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Luton Town will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Luton Town will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Luton (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Forest Green (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Keeley J. (G) 17. Lonwijk N. 15. Mengi T. 3. Naismith K. (C) 33. Bramall C. 8. Walsh L. 23. Saville G. 25. Jones I. 22. Dabo L. 27. Richards J. 21. Wells N.
12. Pagel F. (G) 21. Pemberton T. 6. Mendy L. (C) 32. Kanu A. 24. Buyabu J. 16. Bunker H. 18. Moore I. 25. Whitwell H. 28. Etaluku S. 3. Kengni N. 27. Babalola T.
Substitutes
12. Al Hamadi A. 7. Alli M. 5. Andersen M. 30. Kodua G. 28. Makosso C. 37. Nelson Z. 16. Odoffin H. 1. Shea J. (G) 9. Yates J.
26. Balagizi J. 14. Clarke J. 17. Dausch A. 8. Haughton N. 5. Inniss R. 11. Knowles T. 7. McAllister K. 1. McNicholas L. (G) 15. Moore-Taylor J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Fanne L. ⚽, Wells N. (A),
30', 2 - 0, Wells N. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Etaluku S. ↓, Knowles T. ↑,
46', Kengni N. ↓, McAllister K. ↑,
53', 3 - 0, Wells N. ⚽, Fanne L. (A),
59', Kanu A. ↓, Inniss R. ↑,
59', Babalola T. ↓, Dausch A. ↑,
61', 3 - 1, Knowles T. ⚽,
62', Jones I. ↓, Al Hamadi A. ↑,
62', Walsh L. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
65', Fanne L. 🟨,
68', 3 - 2, McAllister K. (Pen),
71', Wells N. ↓, Yates J. ↑,
71', Richards J. ↓, Kodua G. ↑,
73', Moore I. ↓, Balagizi J. ↑,
79', 3 - 3, Dausch A. ⚽,
84', Naismith K. 🟨,
89', Knowles T. 🟨,
90+2', 4 - 3, Kodua G. ⚽, Yates J. (A),
90+5', Fanne L. ↓, Odoffin H. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Forest Green may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Luton is the clear favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Luton won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 1.5:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).