Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 20

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Tullo Morgagni (Forli)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio


	Forlì		Arezzo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.5	3.3	1.68
	4.95	3.55	1.62
	4.71	3.43	1.71	Watch
	4.6	3.25	1.67
	4.85	3.38	1.67	Watch
	5	3.4	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.77 ↑ (4.15)	3.39 ↓ (3.4)	1.68 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forlì
19%

Draw
26.8%

Arezzo
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

27%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

26.3%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forlì has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Arezzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forlì than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Forlì - Arezzo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arezzo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Martelli L. (G) 25. Elia M. 4. Saporetti L. 27. Manetti G. 24. Cavallini G. 3. Menarini F. 23. De Risio C. 6. Franzolini A. 7. Petrelli E. 18. Giovannini A. 30. Coveri V.	22. Venturi G. (G) 26. De Col F. 19. Chiosa M. 13. Gilli M. 37. Righetti S. 78. Iaccarino G. 7. Guccione F. 8. Eklu S. M. 21. Tavernelli C. 91. Ravasio M. 10. Pattarello E.
Substitutes
15. Berti N. 1. Calvani S. (G) 11. Farinelli N. 29. Graziani G. 13. Greco 10. Macri D. 2. Mandrelli N. 17. Monaco C. 8. Ripani D. 21. Scorza C. 14. Spinelli A. 31. Toschi A. 12. Veliaj G. (G)	30. Arena M. 24. Chierico L. 4. Coppolaro M. 12. Galli A. (G) 15. Gigli N. 14. Meli M. 45. Perrotta F. 6. Renzi A. 3. Tito F. 1. Trombini L. (G) 11. Varela Djamanca M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Gilli M. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Franzolini A. ⚽,
29', Petrelli E. 🟨,
45+2', Guccione F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 1 - 1, Righetti S. ⚽,
62', Iaccarino G. ↓, Chierico L. ↑,
69', Tavernelli C. ↓, Varela Djamanca M. ↑,
71', Petrelli E. ↓, Macri D. ↑,
77', Chiosa M. 🟨,
81', Gilli M. 🟨,
83', Pattarello E. ↓, Coppolaro M. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 2, Eklu S. M. ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).

Forlì is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Arezzo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Arezzo is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Forlì won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Forli	8	2	4	2	13:12	1	10

Last Results with these Odds

Arezzo - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 50.8%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forli FC
Italian Serie C Group B
21.12.25	Perugia - Forlì	4:0 ✺
13.12.25	Forlì - Carpi	4:2 ✺
08.12.25	Ascoli - Forlì	3:0 ✺
29.11.25	Forlì - Bra	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Pianese - Forlì	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLTL
- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie C Group B
20.12.25	Sassari Torres - Arezzo	1:1 ✺
15.12.25	Arezzo - Pineto	3:3 ✺
06.12.25	Livorno - Arezzo	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Arezzo - Sambenedettese	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
26.11.25	Arezzo - Latina	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
22.08.25	Arezzo - Forlì	1:0

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