Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Ruoff Mortgage Stadium (Fort Wayne, IN)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Fort Wayne		Indy Eleven

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.75	3.25	1.83
	3.64	3.65	1.84
	4.36	3.12	1.88	Watch
	3.3	3.4	1.85
	3.89	3.54	1.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↓ (3.82)	3.39 ↓ (3.52)	1.84 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fort Wayne
23.9%

Draw
26.7%

Indy Eleven
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

25.8%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

25.8%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fort Wayne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fort Wayne than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+1%)

Fort Wayne - Indy Eleven Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
96. Echevarria A. (G) 2. Smith J. 4. Dias T. (C) 19. Solis J. 13. Rempel M. 8. Garay J. 86. Armas J. 11. Healy T. 10. Awoudor C. 7. Ricol L. 30. Abbey I.	1. Dick E. (G) 17. Neidlinger L. 4. Herbert A. 37. Craig P. 14. Quinn A. (C) 6. Lindley C. 8. Blake J. 27. Rendon B. 5. O'Brien J. 90. Mesanvi L. 19. Kizza E.
Substitutes
20. Burns N. 12. Gafar K. 33. Hagaman T. 22. Hernandez A. 18. Nieto E. 9. Oyetunde D. 1. Schipmann B. (G) 5. Sproat R. 23. Thomas J.	39. Barry H. 23. Charles-Cook R. (G) 29. Mitrano A. 18. Okello N. 21. Rasheed M. 20. Sing D. 10. Williams K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', Blake J. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Quinn A. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Healy T. ⚽,
39', Neidlinger L. 🟨,
44', Abbey I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', Abbey I. ↓, Gafar K. ↑,
63', Garay J. ↓, Nieto E. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Rendon B. ⚽, Blake J. (A),
68', Craig P. 🟨,
74', Kizza E. ↓, Okello N. ↑,
78', Neidlinger L. ↓, Rasheed M. ↑,
78', Awoudor C. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
79', Thomas J. 🟨,
83', Dias T. 🟨,
84', Armas J. ↓, Oyetunde D. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 2, Thomas J. ⚽, Gafar K. (A),
90+2', Mesanvi L. ↓, Williams K. ↑,
90+2', Rendon B. ↓, Sing D. ↑,
Penalties (1 - 3)
1, Ricol L. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Blake J. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Healy T. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Quinn A. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Nieto E. (Penalty Awarded),
3, O'Brien J. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Thomas J. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Fort Wayne is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Indy has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Indy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Indy is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fort Wayne FC
USL League One
09.05.26	Fort Wayne - Westchester SC	1:0 ✺
06.05.26	Fort Wayne - Portland Hearts of Pine	3:0 ✺
02.05.26	Fort Wayne - Charlotte Independence	2:2 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Louisville City - Fort Wayne	3:1 ✺
USL League One
11.04.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Fort Wayne	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWTLW
- Indy Eleven
USL Championship
09.05.26	Indy Eleven - Sporting Jacksonville	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Indy Eleven	1:0 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Indy Eleven - Union Omaha	1:2 ✺
USL Championship
19.04.26	Birmingham Legion - Indy Eleven	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLTW

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