Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 10 April 2024, Wednesday

Location: Castelão (Fortaleza)

Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV
Portugal	Sport TV2


	Fortaleza		Nacional Potosí

	1	X	2
	1.1	10	19	Watch
	1.1	10.5	23
	1.08	9.5	26	Watch
	1.09	10.5	27
	1.07	10.5	18.13
	1.05	9.5	23	Watch
	1.09	10	25	Watch
	1.07	11	19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.08 ↓ (1.15)	10.19 ↑ (6.9)	22.52 ↑ (16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza
86.6%

Draw
9.2%

Nacional Potosí
4.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80.8%

13.4%

5.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortaleza's performance.

Nacional Potosí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Fortaleza - Nacional Potosí Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortaleza: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joao Ricardo (G) 19. Britez E. 25. Cardona T. 6. Bruno Pacheco 22. Yago Pikachu (C) 39. Machuca I. 7. Pochettino T. 35. Hercules 17. Ze Welison 20. Dudu 9. Lucero J.	1. Mustafa S. (G) 23. Baldomar O. 2. Ortiz M. 6. Restrepo E. 32. Leanos H. 22. Hoyos J. 15. Andia J. 11. Duarte W. 10. Galindo S. 9. Cristaldo G. 20. Prost M.
Substitutes
77. Andrade K. 37. Kauan 13. Kuscevic B. 88. Lucas Sasha 18. Luquinhas 11. Marinho 21. Moises 28. Pedro Augusto 32. Pedro Rocha 23. Santos (G) 2. Tinga 4. Titi	25. Adorno C. (G) 24. Alles G. 29. Alvarez W. 14. Anez O. 18. Azogue P. 13. Cabrera A. 19. Callejo F. 5. Mancilla D. 8. Pavia L. 16. Torrico A.
Coaches
Vojvoda J.	Mur A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Hercules ⚽,
16', 2 - 0, Lucero J. ⚽,
29', 3 - 0, Lucero J. ⚽, Hercules (A),
33', Hercules 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Leanos H. ↓, Mancilla D. ↑,
46', Duarte W. ↓, Torrico A. ↑,
48', 4 - 0, Yago Pikachu ⚽, Pochettino T. (A),
58', 5 - 0, Machuca I. ⚽, Yago Pikachu (A),
60', Bruno Pacheco ↓, Tinga ↑,
60', Hercules ↓, Lucas Sasha ↑,
60', Lucero J. ↓, Pedro Rocha ↑,
61', Prost M. ↓, Alvarez W. ↑,
61', Galindo S. ↓, Alles G. ↑,
72', Pedro Rocha 🟨,
75', Ze Welison ↓, Luquinhas ↑,
82', Yago Pikachu ↓, Marinho ↑,
85', Cristaldo G. ↓, Pavia L. ↑,
90+1', Marinho 🟥,

Preview

Fortaleza is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Nacional Potosí is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fortaleza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fortaleza is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
06.04.24	Ceará - Fortaleza	2:1 penalties ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.04.24	Sportivo Trinidense - Fortaleza	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
30.03.24	Fortaleza - Ceará	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
27.03.24	Maranhão - Fortaleza	3:2 ✺
23.03.24	Fortaleza - Vitória Salvador	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWTLL
- Nacional Potosí
Bolivian Division Profesional
06.04.24	Blooming - Nacional Potosí	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.04.24	Nacional Potosí - Boca Juniors	0:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
30.03.24	Nacional Potosí - Royal Pari	2:0 ✺
13.03.24	Aurora - Nacional Potosí	4:1 ✺
09.03.24	Nacional Potosí - Independiente Petroleros	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTWLW

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