Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 3 April 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Defensores del Chaco (Asunción)

Referee: Gilabert F. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV
Brazil	ESPN 4


	Sportivo Trinidense		Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.6	1.8	Watch
	4.33	3.4	1.82
	4.33	3.5	1.8	Watch
	4.5	3.5	1.85
	4.5	3.5	1.8
	4.5	3.4	1.7	Watch
	4.51	3.52	1.79	Watch
	4.3	3.4	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.47 ↑ (4.32)	3.48 ↓ (3.51)	1.8 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Trinidense
21%

Draw
26.9%

Fortaleza
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

26.5%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

26.6%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Trinidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Sportivo Trinidense - Fortaleza Predictions

Users Predictions: Fortaleza will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Samudio V. (G) 23. Benitez C. 4. Flores G. 5. Vera J. 14. Mendoza S. 28. Riveros M. (C) 13. Salcedo J. 29. Rayer T. 30. Andrada B. 9. Gimenez O. 38. Sinisterra J.	1. Joao Ricardo (G) 25. Cardona T. 13. Kuscevic B. 19. Britez E. 33. Escobar G. 39. Machuca I. 7. Pochettino T. 28. Pedro Augusto 91. Thiago Galhardo 37. Kauan 22. Yago Pikachu (C)
Substitutes
20. Alonso W. 7. Arce P. 21. Canete A. 24. De la Cruz L. 10. Delvalle P. 6. Jorge J. 35. Pereira A. 1. Quinonez W. (G) 17. Roman J. 18. Romero F. 2. Ruiz Diaz A. 3. Villalba D.	6. Bruno Pacheco 20. Dudu 35. Hercules 88. Lucas Sasha 9. Lucero J. 18. Luquinhas 11. Marinho 21. Moises 32. Pedro Rocha 23. Santos (G) 4. Titi 17. Ze Welison
Coaches
Arrua J.	Vojvoda J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Thiago Galhardo ⚽, Machuca I. (A),
13', Britez E. 🟨,
35', Benitez C. 🟨,
36', Escobar G. 🟨,
45+2', Mendoza S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rayer T. ↓, Roman J. ↑,
46', Sinisterra J. ↓, Romero F. ↑,
62', Andrada B. ↓, Delvalle P. ↑,
62', Gimenez O. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
64', Machuca I. ↓, Pedro Rocha ↑,
64', Pochettino T. ↓, Hercules ↑,
66', Salcedo J. ↓, De la Cruz L. ↑,
72', Kauan ↓, Ze Welison ↑,
82', Escobar G. 🟨,
85', Pedro Augusto ↓, Lucas Sasha ↑,
85', Thiago Galhardo ↓, Bruno Pacheco ↑,
90+2', 0 - 2, Yago Pikachu ⚽, Pedro Rocha (A),

Preview

Recent matches Sportivo Trinidense is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fortaleza is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fortaleza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Fortaleza have a series of home games.

In this match Fortaleza is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Trinidense
Paraguayan Primera Division
27.03.24	Sportivo Trinidense - Sportivo Luqueño	0:1 ✺
17.03.24	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.03.24	Colo-Colo - Sportivo Trinidense	2:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
10.03.24	Sportivo Trinidense - Olimpia Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.03.24	Sportivo Trinidense - Colo-Colo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWLTT
- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
30.03.24	Fortaleza - Ceará	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
27.03.24	Maranhão - Fortaleza	3:2 ✺
23.03.24	Fortaleza - Vitória Salvador	0:1 ✺
20.03.24	Fortaleza - Ceará	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
17.03.24	Fortaleza - Maracanã	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLW

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