The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fortuna Düsseldorf 62.2%
Draw 22.6%
Erzgebirge Aue 15.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.9%
26.1%
22%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortuna Düsseldorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortuna Düsseldorf's performance.
Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Erzgebirge Aue might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Fortuna Düsseldorf - Erzgebirge Aue Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).
Fortuna has the most likely position - 13 (14.92%), has project points - 40, has currently - 23, has a small chance of relegated (8%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Aue has the most likely position - 18 (53.98%), has project points - 26, has currently - 15, has a good chance of relegated (91%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality28, small importance26, small match rating27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortuna won 5.
Recent matches Fortuna is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Aue could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Fortuna is a favorite.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Fortuna won 10 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 26-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Fortuna won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-6.
Watch
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