Match Info

Date: 11 February 2022, Friday


	Erzgebirge Aue		Holstein Kiel

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.5	3.5	2.05	Watch
	3.5	3.45	2.04
	3.4	3.45	2.06
	3.62	3.61	2.1
	3.5	3.3	2.05
	3.52	3.52	2.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (2.57)	3.46 ↑ (3.24)	2.06 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erzgebirge Aue
26.7%

Draw
27.4%

Holstein Kiel
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

28.8%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Erzgebirge Aue's form might have worsened.

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Holstein Kiel's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.6%	21%	70.4%

Erzgebirge Aue - Holstein Kiel Predictions

Users Predictions: 81 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 7 - 8.6%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 57 - 70.4%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 21%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Holstein Kiel: 60.5% – 80.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 10).

Aue has the most likely position - 18 (47.52%), has project points - 27, has currently - 15, has a good chance of relegated (86%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Holstein Kiel has the most likely position - 9 (14%), has project points - 48, has currently - 28, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Aue has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Holstein Kiel is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Holstein Kiel will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Aue won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Aue won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erzgebirge Aue
German 2 Bundesliga
05.02.22	Sandhausen - Erzgebirge Aue	2:0 ✺
22.01.22	Erzgebirge Aue - Schalke 04	0:5 ✺
15.01.22	St. Pauli - Erzgebirge Aue	2:2 ✺
18.12.21	Erzgebirge Aue - Nürnberg	1:3 ✺
12.12.21	Erzgebirge Aue - Dynamo Dresden	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLTLL
- Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga
06.02.22	Holstein Kiel - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0 ✺
23.01.22	Jahn Regensburg - Holstein Kiel	1:2 ✺
16.01.22	Schalke 04 - Holstein Kiel	1:1 ✺
17.12.21	Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli	3:0 ✺
11.12.21	Holstein Kiel - Sandhausen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
28.08.21	Holstein Kiel - Erzgebirge Aue	3:0
27.02.21	Holstein Kiel - Erzgebirge Aue	1:0
31.10.20	Erzgebirge Aue - Holstein Kiel	1:1
16.02.20	Erzgebirge Aue - Holstein Kiel	1:2
01.09.19	Holstein Kiel - Erzgebirge Aue	1:1
15.03.19	Holstein Kiel - Erzgebirge Aue	5:1
06.10.18	Erzgebirge Aue - Holstein Kiel	2:1

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