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Current Win Probability
Werder Bremen 57.3%
Draw 23.4%
Fortuna Düsseldorf 19.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.5%
25%
21.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.2%
19.9%
17.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Werder Bremen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Werder Bremen - Fortuna Düsseldorf Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
Werder has the most likely position - 3 (15.86%), has project points - 58, has currently - 29, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (36%), has a small chance of win league (14%).
Fortuna has the most likely position - 13 (12.59%), has project points - 42, has currently - 20, has a small chance of relegated (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Werder is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Fortuna is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Werder could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Fortuna have a series of home games.
In this match Werder is a favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Werder won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Werder won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.