Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 10

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Fortuna Sittard Stadion (Sittard)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Kompas TV, Vidio
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra


	Fortuna Sittard		Groningen

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.2	2.55	Watch
	2.98	3.2	2.48
	2.86	3.35	2.63
	2.68	3.62	2.44	Watch
	2.9	3.28	2.63	Watch
	2.66	3.55	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.72)	3.37 ↓ (3.53)	2.53 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Sittard
33.8%

Draw
28.4%

Groningen
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

26.7%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

27.1%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Groningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	21.4%	35.7%

Fortuna Sittard - Groningen Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Groningen will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna Sittard: 17% – 68.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Branderhorst M. (G) 12. Pinto I. (C) 4. Adewoye S. 44. Marquez I. 8. Dahlhaus J. 23. Brittijn P. 17. Lonwijk J. 80. Fosso R. 18. Limnios D. 9. Sierhuis K. 7. Peterson K.	1. Vaessen E. (G) 5. Rente M. 3. Blokzijl T. 4. Janse D. 43. Peersman M. 8. de Jonge T. 6. Resink S. (C) 17. van der Werff D. 10. Taha Y. 14. Schreuders J. 26. van Bergen T.
Substitutes
11. Aiko M. 19. Gladon P. 28. Hubner J. 52. Ihattaren M. 21. Kerkez M. 1. Koopmans L. (G) 25. Martens N. (G) 77. Tunjic L.	22. Bouland S. 11. Emeran N. 7. Hernes T. 21. Jurjus H. (G) 18. Land T. 27. Mendes R. 16. Mercera T. 20. Seuntjens M. 13. Stubljar L. (G) 15. van der Laan E. 9. Willumsson B. 19. Zawada O.
Coaches
Buijs D.	Lukkien D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, van der Werff D. ⚽, Resink S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Peterson K. ↓, Hubner J. ↑,
46', Adewoye S. ↓, Ihattaren M. ↑,
56', Hubner J. 🟨,
61', 0 - 2, Peersman M. ⚽, Taha Y. (A),
66', Limnios D. ↓, Gladon P. ↑,
66', Sierhuis K. ↓, Aiko M. ↑,
71', Resink S. 🟨,
74', 1 - 2, Gladon P. ⚽, Pinto I. (A),
80', van der Werff D. ↓, Willumsson B. ↑,
84', Pinto I. ↓, Tunjic L. ↑,
85', Rente M. ↓, Seuntjens M. ↑,
85', Taha Y. ↓, Mercera T. ↑,
90+3', Tunjic L. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bastien S. (Heart Problems) Bayram R. (Knee Injury) Halilovic A. (Ankle Injury) Michut E. (Inactive) Sinkgraven D. (Knee Injury) van Ottele S. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Groningen: Rente M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Groningen: Peersman M. (Injury) Willumsson B. (Leg Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna Sittard won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Groningen - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.74%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie
19.10.25	Excelsior - Fortuna Sittard	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Fortuna Sittard - Volendam	1:0 ✺
26.09.25	Twente - Fortuna Sittard	3:2 ✺
20.09.25	Fortuna Sittard - Utrecht	1:0 ✺
17.09.25	Feyenoord - Fortuna Sittard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWLWL
- FC Groningen
Dutch Eredivisie
19.10.25	Groningen - Sparta Rotterdam	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	NAC Breda - Groningen	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Groningen - Feyenoord	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Groningen - Telstar	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Utrecht - Groningen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
16.03.25	Groningen - Fortuna Sittard	1:0
26.10.24	Fortuna Sittard - Groningen	1:0
Dutch KNVB Beker
08.02.24	Groningen - Fortuna Sittard	1:0 penalties
Dutch Eredivisie
02.04.23	Fortuna Sittard - Groningen	3:1
13.11.22	Groningen - Fortuna Sittard	2:3
12.02.22	Groningen - Fortuna Sittard	0:1
27.11.21	Fortuna Sittard - Groningen	1:4

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