Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 13

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Asito Stadium (Almelo)

Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Kompas TV, Vidio
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra


	Heracles Almelo		Go Ahead Eagles

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.7	2.55	Watch
	2.58	3.55	2.62
	2.62	3.67	2.52
	2.59	3.68	2.50	Watch
	2.61	3.78	2.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 (2.59)	3.68 (3.68)	2.56 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heracles Almelo
36.8%

Draw
25.9%

Go Ahead Eagles
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

25.7%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

25.9%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Go Ahead Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Heracles Almelo aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	50%	35.7%

Heracles Almelo - Go Ahead Eagles Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Heracles will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Go Ahead will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Go Ahead (1.92) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Heracles (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Heracles (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Go Ahead (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Jansink T. (G) 23. te Wierik M. 4. Mirani D. (C) 18. Van Hoorenbeeck A. 24. Mesik I. 7. Limbombe B. 70. Hrustic A. 13. Zamburek J. 73. Ould Chikh W. 19. Kulenovic L. 9. Hornkamp J.	22. De Busser J. (G) 2. Deijl M. (C) 21. Meulensteen M. 4. Kramer J. 5. James D. 6. Twigt C. 34. Salah Rahmouni Y. 18. Margaret R. 24. Goudmijn K. 17. Suray M. 9. Smit M.
Substitutes
2. Benita M. 21. Borges Sanches Y. 10. Bruns T. 1. de Keijzer F. (G) 8. Engels M. 30. Mantel R. (G) 22. Milani L. 27. Tijink J. 5. van der Kust D. 17. van Gilst T. 3. Wieckhoff J.	29. Adelgaard A. 23. Baeten T. 20. Blomme X. 7. Breum J. 26. Dirksen J. 30. Jansen S. (G) 8. Linthorst E. 14. Pettersson O. 1. Plogmann L. (G) 11. Sivertsen O. 27. Stokkers F. 25. van Zwam G.
Coaches
Kruzen H.	Boel M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 1 - 0, Mirani D. ⚽, Kulenovic L. (A),
11', Boel M. 🟨,
23', James D. 🟨,
32', Zamburek J. 🟨,
34', 1 - 1, Suray M. ⚽,
38', 1 - 2, Smit M. ⚽, Deijl M. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Margaret R. ↓, Baeten T. ↑,
51', 2 - 2, Mirani D. ⚽, Ould Chikh W. (A),
54', 3 - 2, Hornkamp J. ⚽, Kulenovic L. (A),
69', James D. 🟨,
73', Goudmijn K. ↓, Adelgaard A. ↑,
73', Twigt C. ↓, Breum J. ↑,
82', Limbombe B. ↓, van Gilst T. ↑,
82', Zamburek J. ↓, Bruns T. ↑,
82', Ould Chikh W. ↓, Wieckhoff J. ↑,
84', Suray M. ↓, Stokkers F. ↑,
85', Salah Rahmouni Y. ↓, Dirksen J. ↑,
90+2', Smit M. 🟨,
90+3', 4 - 2, Kulenovic L. ⚽, Hrustic A. (A),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Heracles: Reine-Adelaide J. (Knee Injury) Scheperman S. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Go Ahead: Breum J. (Muscle Injury) Edvardsen V. (Injury) Nauber G. (Broken Leg) Saathof P. (Knee Injury) Tengstedt S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Heracles: Borges Sanches Y. (Injury) Cestic S. (Broken ankle) van Gilst T. (Health problems)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Heracles won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.6:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eredivisie
08.11.25	Excelsior - Heracles Almelo	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Heracles Almelo - Zwolle	8:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
29.10.25	NAC Breda - Heracles Almelo	1:4 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
25.10.25	Volendam - Heracles Almelo	3:0 ✺
19.10.25	Heracles Almelo - Feyenoord	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWWLL
- Go Ahead Eagles
Dutch Eredivisie
09.11.25	Go Ahead Eagles - Feyenoord	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Go Ahead Eagles	2:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
01.11.25	NAC Breda - Go Ahead Eagles	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Go Ahead Eagles - Excelsior	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.10.25	Go Ahead Eagles - Aston Villa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
08.02.25	Heracles Almelo - Go Ahead Eagles	4:2
06.10.24	Go Ahead Eagles - Heracles Almelo	4:1
15.03.24	Heracles Almelo - Go Ahead Eagles	2:0
07.10.23	Go Ahead Eagles - Heracles Almelo	4:0
Dutch KNVB Beker
12.01.23	Heracles Almelo - Go Ahead Eagles	0:1
Dutch Eredivisie
23.01.22	Heracles Almelo - Go Ahead Eagles	1:1
16.10.21	Go Ahead Eagles - Heracles Almelo	4:2

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