The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Heracles Almelo 37.8%
Draw 27.2%
Zwolle 35%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.4%
25.6%
35%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38%
26.5%
36.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
The chances for Zwolle have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
34.6%
11.5%
53.8%
Heracles Almelo - Zwolle Predictions
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Heracles will win (votes: 9 - 34.6%). Zwolle will win (votes: 14 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Zwolle: 34.6% โ 73%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Heracles (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Zwolle will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Heracles (votes: 2 - 20%). Zwolle (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Jansink T. (G) 23. te Wierik M. 4. Mirani D. (C) 18. Van Hoorenbeeck A. 24. Mesik I. 7. Limbombe B. 70. Hrustic A. 13. Zamburek J. 73. Ould Chikh W. 19. Kulenovic L. 9. Hornkamp J.
16. de Graaff T. (G) 3. Aertssen O. 28. Graves S. (C) 4. Garcia MacNulty A. 2. Floranus S. 34. Fichtinger N. 25. Oosting T. 35. Monteiro J. 7. Shoretire S. 10. Kostons K. 22. de Rooij K.
Substitutes
39. Blokhuis S. 21. Borges Sanches Y. 10. Bruns T. 1. de Keijzer F. (G) 30. Mantel R. (G) 22. Milani L. 27. Tijink J. 5. van der Kust D. 3. Wieckhoff J.
29. Buitink T. 40. Dobben N. (G) 46. Drost C. 19. Faberski J. 45. Holtman J. 11. Mbayo D. 26. Pereira da Gama J. 20. Reiziger G. 38. Renwarin G. 42. Ruward D. 30. Thomas R. 41. Verduin D. (G)
Coaches
Sibum B.
Van Der Vegt H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, de Rooij K. ⚽, Kostons K. (A),
15', Fichtinger N. 🟨,
18', 1 - 1, Hornkamp J. ⚽, Limbombe B. (A),
20', Graves S. 🟨,
29', 2 - 1, Hornkamp J. ⚽, Hrustic A. (A),
32', 3 - 1, Hornkamp J. ⚽, Kulenovic L. (A),
38', Fichtinger N. 🟨,
39', 4 - 1, Kulenovic L. (Pen),
2nd Half (4 - 1)
50', 5 - 1, te Wierik M. ⚽, Ould Chikh W. (A),
57', Oosting T. ↓, Pereira da Gama J. ↑,
59', 6 - 1, Limbombe B. ⚽,
64', Hornkamp J. ↓, Bruns T. ↑,
64', Shoretire S. ↓, Faberski J. ↑,
65', Kostons K. ↓, Mbayo D. ↑,
67', 7 - 1, Van Hoorenbeeck A. ⚽, Hrustic A. (A),
68', te Wierik M. ↓, Wieckhoff J. ↑,
68', Ould Chikh W. ↓, Borges Sanches Y. ↑,
71', 7 - 2, de Rooij K. ⚽,
84', Limbombe B. ↓, Blokhuis S. ↑,
84', Mesik I. ↓, Tijink J. ↑,
89', 8 - 2, Bruns T. ⚽,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Heracles may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Heracles: Cestic S.
(Broken ankle)
Engels M.
(Red Card)
Reine-Adelaide J.
(Knee Injury)
Scheperman S.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Zwolle: Buurmeester Z.
(Ankle Injury)
Velanas O.
(Ankle Injury)
van der Haar D.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Heracles: Benita M.
(Injury)
Wieckhoff J.
(Inactive)
van Gilst T.
(Health problems)
There are questionable in Zwolle: Gooijer T.
(Injury)
Thomas R.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:28. (average 1.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Heracles won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:12. (average 2:1.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Heracles Almelo - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 39.36%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Africa
Kenya
Netherlands
Nigeria
South-africa
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Jansink T. (G) 
Van Hoorenbeeck A. 
Mesik I. 
Hrustic A. 
Zamburek J. 
Kulenovic L. 
Graves S. (C) 
Garcia MacNulty A. 
Floranus S. 
Monteiro J. 
Shoretire S. 
Borges Sanches Y. 
Milani L. 
van der Kust D. 
Wieckhoff J. 
Faberski J. 
Thomas R. 
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