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Current Win Probability
Go Ahead Eagles 50%
Draw 25.1%
Fortuna Sittard 24.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.6%
24.1%
29.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
23.2%
30.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Go Ahead Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Go Ahead Eagles that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortuna Sittard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
34.3%
40%
25.7%
Go Ahead Eagles - Fortuna Sittard Predictions
Users Predictions:
35 users predict this event. Go Ahead will win (votes: 12 - 34.3%). Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 9 - 25.7%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 40%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 56.2%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Go Ahead (votes: 3 - 30%). Fortuna Sittard (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. De Busser J. (G) 2. Deijl M. (C) 21. Meulensteen M. 4. Kramer J. 5. James D. 24. Goudmijn K. 8. Linthorst E. 19. Slory J. 7. Breum J. 17. Suray M. 9. Smit M.
31. Branderhorst M. (G) 12. Pinto I. (C) 6. van Ottele S. 44. Marquez I. 4. Adewoye S. 28. Hubner J. 52. Ihattaren M. 21. Kasanwirjo N. 18. Limnios D. 7. Peterson K. 9. Sierhuis K.
Substitutes
29. Adelgaard A. 23. Baeten T. 26. Dirksen J. 16. Edvardsen V. 18. Margaret R. 1. Plogmann L. (G) 34. Salah Rahmouni Y. 11. Sivertsen O. 27. Stokkers F. 6. Twigt C. 25. van Zwam G. 33. Verdoni N. (G)
22. Bastien S. 46. Gbemou M. 19. Gladon P. 10. Halilovic A. 1. Koopmans L. (G) 47. Laoukili A. 25. Martens N. (G) 38. Schenkhuizen T.
Coaches
Boel M.
Buijs D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Peterson K. ⚽, Ihattaren M. (A),
45', 1 - 1, Suray M. ⚽, Deijl M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Breum J. ↓, Edvardsen V. ↑,
70', Peterson K. ↓, Gladon P. ↑,
74', James D. ↓, Baeten T. ↑,
74', Slory J. ↓, Adelgaard A. ↑,
80', Sierhuis K. ↓, Bastien S. ↑,
81', Smit M. ↓, Margaret R. ↑,
81', Goudmijn K. ↓, Twigt C. ↑,
83', Hubner J. 🟨,
86', 2 - 1, Suray M. ⚽, Baeten T. (A),
89', Adewoye S. ↓, Laoukili A. ↑,
89', Pinto I. ↓, Halilovic A. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Hubner J. ⚽, Halilovic A. (A),
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Go Ahead won 2.
Go Ahead has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Fortuna Sittard has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Go Ahead has had a series of away games.
Recently, Fortuna Sittard has had a series of home games.
Go Ahead might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Go Ahead: Nauber G.
(Broken Leg)
Saathof P.
(Knee Injury)
Tengstedt S.
(Injury)
Weijenberg R.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bayram R.
(Knee Injury)
Brittijn P.
(Yellow Cards)
Sinkgraven D.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Go Ahead: Breum J.
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Dahlhaus J.
(Inactive)
Halilovic A.
(Ankle Injury)
Tunjic L.
(Inactive)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Go Ahead won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:19. (average 1.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Go Ahead won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.9:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Sittard
8
4
2
2
14:15
-1
14
9
G.A. Eagles
8
2
5
1
19:17
2
11
Last Results with these Odds
Fortuna Sittard - the odds 3.23 are the expected chance of winning is 29.28%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
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De Busser J. (G) 
Deijl M. (C) 
James D. 
Breum J. 
Pinto I. (C) 
Marquez I. 
Ihattaren M. 
Limnios D. 
Peterson K. 
Margaret R. 
Plogmann L. (G) 
Sivertsen O. 
Bastien S. 
Halilovic A. 
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