Match Info

KNVB Beker - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Fortuna Sittard Stadion (Sittard)

Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)


	Fortuna Sittard		Almere City

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	5.25	Watch
	1.58	4.25	4.95
	1.6	4.27	5.01
	1.57	4.07	5.35	Watch
	1.57	4	5
	1.57	4.2	5.03	Watch
	1.55	4	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.58)	4.14 ↓ (4.2)	5.13 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Sittard
59.4%

Draw
22.5%

Almere City
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

21.6%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

23.4%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Sittard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Fortuna Sittard - Almere City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Fortuna Sittard will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Branderhorst M. (G) 12. Pinto I. (C) 6. van Ottele S. 44. Marquez I. 4. Adewoye S. 20. Michut E. 80. Fosso R. 52. Ihattaren M. 17. Lonwijk J. 7. Peterson K. 9. Sierhuis K.	1. Wendlinger J. (G) 25. Sam A. 22. van de Blaak E. 4. Lawrence J. (C) 32. Vianello T. 8. de Haan M. 20. Kalisvaart J. 17. Poku E. 10. Rijkhoff J. 11. Kadile J. 9. Druijf F.
Substitutes
11. Aiko M. 22. Bastien S. 23. Brittijn P. 43. Elasri W. 46. Gbemou M. 19. Gladon P. 21. Kerkez M. 1. Koopmans L. (G) 47. Laoukili A. 18. Limnios D. 25. Martens N. (G) 38. Schenkhuizen T.	24. Beaumont G. 5. Bijleveld T. 7. Burgering B. 6. Cornelisse E. 19. de Nijs O. 21. el Dahri H. 15. Engel M. 3. Jacobs Jo. 12. Kuijsten T. (G) 28. Providence R. 2. Reith B. 30. van der Wilt J. (G)
Coaches
Buijs D.	Rijsdijk J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Lonwijk J. ⚽, Peterson K. (A),
24', 1 - 1, van de Blaak E. ⚽, de Haan M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', Michut E. 🟥,
63', Vianello T. 🟨,
64', 2 - 1, Sierhuis K. ⚽, Ihattaren M. (A),
67', Sierhuis K. 🟨,
69', Peterson K. ↓, Aiko M. ↑,
70', Ihattaren M. ↓, Limnios D. ↑,
70', Lonwijk J. ↓, Brittijn P. ↑,
76', 2 - 2, Rijkhoff J. ⚽, Poku E. (A),
77', Lawrence J. ↓, de Nijs O. ↑,
77', Vianello T. ↓, Bijleveld T. ↑,
77', Kalisvaart J. ↓, Engel M. ↑,
80', Sierhuis K. ↓, Gladon P. ↑,
80', Pinto I. ↓, Kerkez M. ↑,
87', 2 - 3, de Nijs O. ⚽, Bijleveld T. (A),
90+3', Rijkhoff J. ↓, Jacobs Jo. ↑,
90+4', Kadile J. ↓, Providence R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 3.

Recent performances by Fortuna Sittard have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Almere City is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Fortuna Sittard is the team to beat.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:16. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna Sittard won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.8:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie
13.12.25	Zwolle - Fortuna Sittard	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Fortuna Sittard - Ajax	1:3 ✺
29.11.25	Fortuna Sittard - Heracles Almelo	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Fortuna Sittard	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Fortuna Sittard - Heerenveen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLTTW
- Almere City FC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.12.25	Jong PSV - Almere City	2:3 ✺
05.12.25	Almere City - Jong Ajax	3:2 ✺
29.11.25	FC Oss - Almere City	1:2 ✺
24.11.25	Almere City - VVV-Venlo	3:0 ✺
21.11.25	Den Bosch - Almere City	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
14.05.25	Almere City - Fortuna Sittard	1:1
16.08.24	Fortuna Sittard - Almere City	3:0
24.01.24	Almere City - Fortuna Sittard	0:0
Dutch KNVB Beker
17.01.24	Almere City - Fortuna Sittard	1:2
Dutch Eredivisie
19.08.23	Fortuna Sittard - Almere City	2:1
Dutch Eerste Divisie
30.03.18	Almere City - Fortuna Sittard	1:4
01.09.17	Fortuna Sittard - Almere City	2:1

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