Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 8

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Fortuna Sittard Stadion (Sittard)

Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN Extra


	Fortuna Sittard		Volendam

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.9	3.8	Watch
	1.85	3.8	3.9
	1.9	3.95	3.7
	1.79	4.05	4.4
	1.83	3.94	3.86	Watch
	1.89	3.85	3.98	Watch
	1.89	3.85	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.8)	3.91 ↑ (3.85)	3.92 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Sittard
51.3%

Draw
24.4%

Volendam
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

24.5%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

24.2%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Volendam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volendam than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	25%	6.2%

Fortuna Sittard - Volendam Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Volendam will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna Sittard: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Fortuna Sittard (1.82) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fortuna Sittard will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Fortuna Sittard (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Volendam (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Branderhorst M. (G) 12. Pinto I. (C) 44. Marquez I. 4. Adewoye S. 8. Dahlhaus J. 80. Fosso R. 17. Lonwijk J. 23. Brittijn P. 18. Limnios D. 9. Sierhuis K. 7. Peterson K.	1. van Oevelen K. (G) 5. Ugwu P. 3. Amevor M. 20. Verschuren N. 32. Leliendal Y. 8. Yah G. 18. Bukala N. 10. Kuwas B. 40. van Cruijsen R. 17. Ideho J. 9. Veerman H. (C)
Substitutes
11. Aiko M. 46. Gbemou M. 19. Gladon P. 28. Hubner J. 21. Kerkez M. 1. Koopmans L. (G) 47. Laoukili A. 25. Martens N. (G) 26. Mendes H. 77. Tunjic L.	33. Dyer K. 28. Esajas S. 7. Kokcu O. 4. Mbuyamba X. 14. Meijers A. 21. Muhren R. 11. Oehlers A. 2. Payne D. 6. Plat A. 16. Steur R. (G) 39. Tielemans J. 22. Vlak D. (G)
Coaches
Buijs D.	Kruys R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Lonwijk J. ⚽, Limnios D. (A),
14', Adewoye S. ↓, Hubner J. ↑,
40', Verschuren N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Yah G. ↓, Kokcu O. ↑,
62', Ugwu P. ↓, Payne D. ↑,
62', Ideho J. ↓, Oehlers A. ↑,
62', Sierhuis K. ↓, Gladon P. ↑,
63', Peterson K. ↓, Aiko M. ↑,
74', van Cruijsen R. ↓, Muhren R. ↑,
74', Verschuren N. ↓, Mbuyamba X. ↑,
79', Brittijn P. 🟨,
81', Lonwijk J. ↓, Tunjic L. ↑,
81', Pinto I. ↓, Mendes H. ↑,
90+3', Kuwas B. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Volendam may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fortuna Sittard is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bastien S. (Illness) Bayram R. (Knee Injury) Halilovic A. (Ankle Injury) Sinkgraven D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: van Ottele S. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Volendam: Descotte A. (Ankle Injury) Esajas S. (Inactive)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:27. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna Sittard won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.6:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie
26.09.25	Twente - Fortuna Sittard	3:2 ✺
20.09.25	Fortuna Sittard - Utrecht	1:0 ✺
17.09.25	Feyenoord - Fortuna Sittard	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Telstar - Fortuna Sittard	1:3 ✺
31.08.25	Fortuna Sittard - NEC Nijmegen	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LWLWW
- FC Volendam
Dutch Eredivisie
27.09.25	Volendam - Zwolle	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Volendam - Excelsior	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Go Ahead Eagles - Volendam	3:0 ✺
30.08.25	Volendam - Ajax	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Telstar - Volendam	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
28.01.24	Volendam - Fortuna Sittard	0:1
16.09.23	Fortuna Sittard - Volendam	3:1
17.03.23	Volendam - Fortuna Sittard	2:1
02.10.22	Fortuna Sittard - Volendam	2:0
Dutch Eerste Divisie
02.02.18	Volendam - Fortuna Sittard	2:0
15.09.17	Fortuna Sittard - Volendam	1:0
05.05.17	Fortuna Sittard - Volendam	3:0

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