The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Waalwijk 23.6%
Draw 25.3%
NEC Nijmegen 51.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.1%
23%
58.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.5%
22.2%
61%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Waalwijk's performance.
NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and NEC Nijmegen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Waalwijk that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that NEC Nijmegen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
54.5%
9.1%
36.4%
Waalwijk - NEC Nijmegen Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Waalwijk will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Nijmegen will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Waalwijk: 25.1% – 83.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Houwen J. (G) 4. Van Gelderen L. 17. van Eijma R. 3. Van den Buijs D. 34. Wouters L. 24. Roemeratoe G. 23. van der Venne R. 30. Weidmann D. 18. van der Water S. 9. Zawada O. (C) 19. Margaret R.
22. Roefs R. (G) 2. Pereira B. 4. Marquez I. 3. Sandler P. (C) 24. Verdonk C. 6. Hoedemakers M. 23. Sano K. 7. Gonzalez R. 10. Hansen S. 32. van Crooij V. 18. Ogawa K.
Substitutes
33. Al Mazyani F. 7. Cleonise D. 35. Felida K. 52. Ihattaren M. 13. Kesting J. (G) 2. Lelieveld J. 14. Lokesa C. 10. Niemeijer R. 6. Oukili Y. 22. van de Loo T. 31. Vogels L. (G) 8. Vroegh P.
8. Darelas A. 31. Janse R. (G) 19. Lyratzis L. 17. Nuytinck B. 11. Onal B. 25. Ouaissa S. 20. Schone L. 9. Shiogai K. 1. van Gassel S. (G)
Coaches
Fraser H.
Meijer R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', van Crooij V. 🟨,
45+1', Weidmann D. 🟨,
45+2', Weidmann D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
61', Sandler P. ↓, Nuytinck B. ↑,
68', 0 - 1, Ogawa K. ⚽, Gonzalez R. (A),
69', Gonzalez R. ↓, Ouaissa S. ↑,
69', Hansen S. ↓, Onal B. ↑,
74', 0 - 2, Ouaissa S. ⚽, Pereira B. (A),
77', van der Venne R. ↓, Al Mazyani F. ↑,
77', van der Water S. ↓, Cleonise D. ↑,
77', Zawada O. ↓, Oukili Y. ↑,
78', Pereira B. ↓, Lyratzis L. ↑,
78', Ogawa K. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,
90', 0 - 3, Marquez I. ⚽, van Crooij V. (A),
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 10).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Waalwijk won 1.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Nijmegen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Nijmegen is a favorite.
There will not play in Nijmegen: Sandler P.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Waalwijk: El Harmazi N.
(Shoulder Injury)
Familia-Castillo J.
(Injury)
Kramer M.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Nijmegen: Proper D.
(Shoulder Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Waalwijk won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 16:38 (average 0.8:1.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Waalwijk won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.1:1.1).
Finland
Netherlands
Watch
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Houwen J. (G) 
Van Gelderen L. 
van Eijma R. 
Van den Buijs D. 
Weidmann D. 
Zawada O. (C) 
Marquez I. 
Verdonk C. 
Sano K. 
Al Mazyani F. 
Darelas A. 
Onal B. 
Schone L. 
