The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Forward Madison 61.5%
Draw 22.3%
New York Cosmos 16.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.9%
23.5%
22.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.3%
19.8%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Forward Madison has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Forward Madison's performance.
New York Cosmos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New York Cosmos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (-16.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Forward Madison that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Cosmos than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New York Cosmos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Forward Madison - New York Cosmos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Harms J. (G) 20. Carmichael K. 33. Toure K. 4. McCamy C. 23. Munjoma E. 16. Castro J. 12. Torres R. 6. Kanyane G. 17. Gebhard D. 14. Gyamfi S. 9. Carmichael R.
1. Chan D. (G) 2. Morabito M. 25. Chavez J. 6. Holt A. 16. Mason D. 33. Sidoel D. 20. Mendonca N. 5. Cabrera N. 8. Spengler A. 19. Jawneh L. 13. Guenzatti S. (C)
Substitutes
7. Bolma J. 21. Karamoko H. 30. Machacen E. 19. Manske T. (G) 11. Ngoubou C. 8. Segbers M. 5. Shannon J.
17. Galazzini D. 26. Garcia J. (G) 23. Materazzi D. 28. Milovanov J. 24. Noecker W. 14. Puentes A. 11. Zielonka N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
17', Carmichael K. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Carmichael R. ⚽, Torres R. (A),
28', 2 - 0, Torres R. ⚽,
38', Toure K. 🟨,
41', Gebhard D. ↓, Bolma J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Morabito M. ↓, Galazzini D. ↑,
46', Mason D. ↓, Zielonka N. ↑,
49', 3 - 0, Castro J. ⚽,
56', Castro J. 🟨,
58', Kanyane G. ↓, Segbers M. ↑,
58', Torres R. ↓, Shannon J. ↑,
72', McCamy C. ↓, Machacen E. ↑,
72', Gyamfi S. ↓, Karamoko H. ↑,
72', Carmichael R. ↓, Ngoubou C. ↑,
73', Spengler A. 🟨,
76', 3 - 1, Guenzatti S. ⚽, Zielonka N. (A),
77', Guenzatti S. ↓, Puentes A. ↑,
77', Spengler A. ↓, Milovanov J. ↑,
85', Chavez J. 🟨,
85', Karamoko H. 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17).
Recent performances by Forward Madison have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
New York Cosmos has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
New York Cosmos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Forward Madison is the team to beat.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Forward Madison won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
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Harms J. (G) 
Toure K. 
Kanyane G. 
Gyamfi S. 
Carmichael R. 
Chan D. (G) 
Sidoel D. 
Cabrera N. 
Jawneh L. 
Guenzatti S. (C) 
Machacen E. 
Ngoubou C. 
Galazzini D. 
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