Match Info

USL League One

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Paradise Coast Sports Complex (Naples, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Naples		Spokane Velocity

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.48	2.92	2.72
	2.58	2.85	3
	2.37	3.31	2.85	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.58
	2.56	3.25	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.54)	3.11 ↓ (3.25)	2.72 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naples
36.8%

Draw
29.5%

Spokane Velocity
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

27.7%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

27%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naples has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Spokane Velocity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naples than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spokane Velocity than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Naples - Spokane Velocity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Delgado E. (G) 4. Glasser M. 25. Dengler J. 2. Evans B. 3. Cisneros J. 8. Heckenberg C. 23. Ferrin A. 14. O'Connor K. 21. Torrellas M. 10. Onen J. 9. Henderlong K.	23. Merancio C. (G) 17. John-Brown S. 13. Opara L. 4. Garcia D. 3. Crisler J. 18. Waldeck D. 10. Gil L. 42. Meredith B. 77. Lewis A. 11. Reedy P. 9. Brett N.
Substitutes
11. Bachstein D. 6. Fernandes G. 34. Fitzgerald L. 12. Garrett I. 17. Halterman A. (G) 7. Pasnik T. 22. Prpa L. 24. Rubinstein R. 32. Sulia R.	7. Akale M. 1. Bilichuk R. (G) 19. Denton J. 2. Gil J. 14. Hernandez M. 12. Miller C. 16. Pelaez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Ferrin A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Brett N. ↓, Pelaez A. ↑,
56', Crisler J. ↓, Miller C. ↑,
69', Ferrin A. ↓, Prpa L. ↑,
79', Onen J. ↓, Garrett I. ↑,
79', John-Brown S. ↓, Akale M. ↑,
80', Meredith B. ↓, Denton J. ↑,
86', O'Connor K. ↓, Bachstein D. ↑,
87', 0 - 1, Gil L. ⚽,
89', Gil L. ↓, Gil J. ↑,
90+4', Heckenberg C. 🟨,
90+6', Akale M. 🟨,

Preview

Naples is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )

Spokane is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Spokane may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Naples has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Naples won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Naples
USL League One
12.10.25	Westchester SC - Naples	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Union Omaha - Naples	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Naples - AV Alta	4:0 ✺
21.09.25	Portland Hearts of Pine - Naples	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	Charlotte Independence - Naples	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLWLW
- Spokane Velocity
USL League One
11.10.25	Spokane Velocity - South Georgia Tormenta	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	Charlotte Independence - Spokane Velocity	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Spokane Velocity - Greenville Triumph	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Spokane Velocity - Chattanooga Red Wolves	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Union Omaha - Spokane Velocity	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
22.03.25	Spokane Velocity - Naples	0:1

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