Match Info

USL League One

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Breese Stevens Field (Madison, WI)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Forward Madison		AV Alta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.37	4.50	6.25
	1.44	4.20	5.50
	1.35	5.18	7.94
	1.58	4.25	4.99	Watch
	1.51	4.20	5.10
	1.42	4.81	6.39	Watch
	1.34	4.50	6.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.58)	4.52 ↑ (3.85)	6.11 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forward Madison
64.5%

Draw
20.4%

AV Alta
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

23.1%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

21.2%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forward Madison has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Forward Madison's performance.

AV Alta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AV Alta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AV Alta than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Forward Madison - AV Alta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Harms J. (G) 23. Munjoma E. 20. Carmichael K. 5. Shannon J. 4. McCamy C. 6. Kanyane G. 7. Bolma J. 12. Torres R. 8. Segbers M. (C) 11. Ngoubou C. 9. Carmichael R.	22. Smith D. (G) 15. Winum M. 4. Pajaro M. 21. Villalobos J. 3. Ortiz A. 6. Lay O. 11. Aoumaich I. 5. Alassane M. 99. Bahena Jr C. 23. Thomas R. 9. Acuna J.
Substitutes
57. Augee B. 3. Edwards A. 99. Flores K. (G) 14. Gyamfi S. 13. Humphrey T. 30. Machacen E. 19. Manske T. (G) 33. Toure K.	19. Anderson C. 20. Antwi G. 16. Ceja E. 30. Gonzalez M. (G) 24. Higareda S. 32. Jahng E. 44. Pehlivanov K.
Coaches
Glaeser M.	Kleiban B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Alassane M. 🟨,
16', Munjoma E. 🟨,
19', Carmichael K. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Munjoma E. ⚽, Carmichael R. (A),
28', Thomas R. 🟨,
37', Lay O. 🟨,
42', Shannon J. 🟨,
43', Glaeser M. 🟨,
44', Acuna J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', Segbers M. ↓, Augee B. ↑,
62', Munjoma E. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
62', Bahena Jr C. ↓, Antwi G. ↑,
62', Lay O. ↓, Pehlivanov K. ↑,
70', Shannon J. ↓, Toure K. ↑,
70', Ngoubou C. ↓, Gyamfi S. ↑,
72', Winum M. ↓, Ceja E. ↑,
72', Alassane M. ↓, Jahng E. ↑,
78', Aoumaich I. ↓, Anderson C. ↑,
80', Jahng E. 🟥,
84', 2 - 0, Carmichael R. ⚽, Torres R. (A),
90+3', Edwards A. 🟨,
90+7', 3 - 0, Bolma J. ⚽, Augee B. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 3rd in the Promotion ~ USL League One PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 10th).

Forward Madison has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Alta has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Forward Madison may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Forward Madison carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Forward Madison has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:5 (averaging 1:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Forward Madison against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Forward Madison ✔	29	15	7	7	50:27	23	52
13	AV Alta	29	8	8	13	35:42	-7	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forward Madison
USL League One
16.09.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Forward Madison	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Forward Madison - Sarasota Paradise	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Corpus Christi - Forward Madison	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Forward Madison - One Knoxville	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Richmond Kickers - Forward Madison	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTWTW
- AV Alta FC
USL League One
13.09.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - AV Alta	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	AV Alta - One Knoxville	1:2 ✺
28.08.26	Charlotte Independence - AV Alta	5:0 ✺
22.08.26	AV Alta - Naples	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	New York Cosmos - AV Alta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
09.05.26	AV Alta - Forward Madison	2:0
06.09.25	AV Alta - Forward Madison	3:3
02.08.25	Forward Madison - AV Alta	0:0

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