Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 5

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg)

Referee: Petersen M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	Tring Sport 3
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 2
Asia	MBC Action
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5P
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player
Iceland	Viaplay
India	ZEE5
Israel	Sport 3
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	FOX One
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Sport TV2, Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Peacock
Venezuela	Disney+
World	OneFootball TV


	Freiburg		Schalke 04

	1	X	2
	1.65	4	5.25	Watch
	1.63	4.10	5.00
	1.62	3.9	5.25
	1.69	4.25	5.3
	1.71	4.11	4.56	Watch
	1.64	3.9	5.1
	1.69	4.12	5.49	Watch
	1.65	4.1	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.65)	4.06 ↓ (4.29)	5.12 ↑ (4.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Freiburg
57.7%

Draw
23.6%

Schalke 04
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

22.1%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

21.3%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Schalke 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	3.8%	3.8%

Freiburg - Schalke 04 Predictions

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - SC Freiburg (1.70) (votes: 91%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Freiburg will win (24 of 26 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.07% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Freiburg will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 5.

Freiburg is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Schalke is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Freiburg carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for Schalke: Ljubicic D. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Freiburg: Ogbus B. (Injury) Yilmaz B. (Knock).

Our forecast points to a victory for Freiburg in today's match, at odds of 1.64.

In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Freiburg has recorded 10 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:13 (averaging 1.5:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Freiburg against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 18:5 goals (averaging 1.8:0.5 per game).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Freiburg: 0.72% Schalke: 0.32%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12:3	9	10
12	Schalke	4	1	2	1	3:4	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Freiburg
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Freiburg - Luzern	4:2
German Bundesliga
19.09.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Freiburg	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Freiburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	5:0 ✺
05.09.26	Paderborn - Freiburg	0:1 ✺
30.08.26	Freiburg - Werder Bremen	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTWWW
- Schalke 04
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Austria Lustenau - Schalke 04	0:1 ✺
24.09.26	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Schalke 04	2:5 ✺
German Bundesliga
20.09.26	Schalke 04 - Elversberg	0:0 ✺
11.09.26	Union Berlin - Schalke 04	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Schalke 04 - Bayern Munich	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
23.04.23	Freiburg - Schalke 04	4:0
30.10.22	Schalke 04 - Freiburg	0:2
17.04.21	Freiburg - Schalke 04	4:0
16.12.20	Schalke 04 - Freiburg	0:2
27.06.20	Freiburg - Schalke 04	4:0
21.12.19	Schalke 04 - Freiburg	2:2
16.02.19	Schalke 04 - Freiburg	0:0

Upcoming Matches