The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Freiburg 52.8%
Draw 26.3%
Schalke 04 20.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.3%
25.1%
19.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.8%
24.4%
19.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
13.6%
11.4%
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Predictions
Users Predictions:
44 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 33 - 75%). Schalke will win (votes: 5 - 11.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 13.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Freiburg: 62.2% โ 87.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Freiburg has the most likely position - 5 (32.11%), project points - 58, currently - 50, not chance of relegated, a chance of qualify for ucl (35%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Schalke has the most likely position - 17 (40.24%), project points - 30, currently - 24, a good chance of relegated (64%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
This event has quality63, big importance83, big match rating73. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 4.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Freiburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Freiburg is a favorite.
There will not play in Freiburg: Eggestein M.
(Yellow Cards)
Gregoritsch M.
(Ankle Injury)
Gulde M.
(Thigh Injury)
Kyereh D.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Schalke: Balanta E.
(Knee Injury)
Brunner C.
(Shoulder Injury)
Heekeren J.
(Knee Injury)
Kozuki S.
(Ankle Injury)
Krauss T.
(Yellow Cards)
Polter S.
(Knee Injury)
Yoshida M.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Schalke: Fahrmann R.
(Groin Injury)
Skarke T.
(Ankle Injury)
Last 17 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Freiburg won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-5.