Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 38

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Fernando Torres (Fuenlabrada)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Fuenlabrada		Recreativo Huelva

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.3
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	2.7	3.4	2.4
	2.63	3.43	2.27
	2.67	3.48	2.35	Watch
	2.68	3.28	2.43
	2.7	3.4	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (1.84)	3.34 ↑ (3.29)	2.46 ↓ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fuenlabrada
35.4%

Draw
27.4%

Recreativo Huelva
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

27.9%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

26.9%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fuenlabrada's form might have worsened.

Recreativo Huelva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Recreativo Huelva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (+16.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fuenlabrada, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Recreativo Huelva than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Recreativo Huelva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Fuenlabrada - Recreativo Huelva Predictions

Users Predictions: Fuenlabrada will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fuenlabrada will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diaz L. (G) 17. Ouacharaf B. 4. Mauro M. 6. Alvaro Garcia 14. Barbosa A. 8. Ruiz Fer 16. Aguza S. 15. Moyano A. 11. Abde 9. Omoigui C. 7. Manu	1. Galvez R. (G) 18. Perejon D. 22. Navas R. 34. Juancho V. 26. Davinchi 28. Vega I. 14. Del Pozo D. 7. Romero P. 19. Garcia Perez J. L. 10. Dominguez A. 15. Armero S.
Substitutes
3. Barbu 13. Bloch F. (G) 20. Casas I. 23. Chang-Sang J. 19. Faure I. 10. Galindo A. 26. Garcia M. 35. Jaime R. 22. Javi Curras 21. Nene 28. Sanchez R. 18. Sangare L.	6. Bahachille A. 20. Becken C. 11. Bekkouche C. 16. Caballero P. 17. Cerrudo J. 32. Dani Romero 29. Evora P. 30. Folgado T. (G) 4. Serrano R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', Aguza S. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Garcia Perez J. L. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Manu ⚽,
45', Dominguez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Moyano A. ↓, Galindo A. ↑,
59', 2 - 1, Manu ⚽,
61', 3 - 1, Manu ⚽,
62', Garcia Perez J. L. ↓, Evora P. ↑,
62', Juancho V. ↓, Pineau S. ↑,
62', Armero S. ↓, Serrano R. ↑,
70', Abde ↓, Casas I. ↑,
70', Ouacharaf B. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
77', Dominguez A. ↓, Cerrudo J. ↑,
83', 4 - 1, Manu ⚽,
90', 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Fuenlabrada is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Recreativo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Fuenlabrada could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fuenlabrada won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home match between the teams, Fuenlabrada won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.05.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Fuenlabrada	4:0 ✺
11.05.25	Fuenlabrada - Ceuta	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Atlético Madrid B - Fuenlabrada	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Ibiza - Fuenlabrada	2:1 ✺
20.04.25	Fuenlabrada - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT
- Recreativo Huelva
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.05.25	Recreativo Huelva - Mérida AD	0:1 ✺
11.05.25	Marbella - Recreativo Huelva	3:1 ✺
04.05.25	Recreativo Huelva - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Alcoyano - Recreativo Huelva	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Recreativo Huelva - Real Madrid Castilla	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.10.24	Recreativo Huelva - Fuenlabrada	1:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
11.01.20	Recreativo Huelva - Fuenlabrada	1:0 penalties
Spanish Segunda RFEF Promotion Play Offs
02.06.19	Recreativo Huelva - Fuenlabrada	1:1
26.05.19	Fuenlabrada - Recreativo Huelva	3:0

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