Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 32

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Machida GION Stadium (Machida)


	Machida Zelvia		Montedio Yamagata

	1	X	2
	1.67	4	4.75	Watch
	1.67	3.8	4.75
	1.71	3.98	4.95
	1.67	3.5	4.2
	1.67	4.05	4.75	Watch
	1.67	3.8	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.79)	3.86 ↑ (3.78)	4.67 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Machida Zelvia
55.7%

Draw
24.2%

Montedio Yamagata
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

24.8%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

26.9%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Montedio Yamagata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Machida Zelvia - Montedio Yamagata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Fukui K. (G) 43. Suzuki J. 14. Jang M. 34. Fujiwara Y. 22. Onaga H. 27. Hirakawa Y. 16. Uno Z. 33. Matsui R. 9. Numata T. 15. Duke M. 25. Fujio S.	1. Goto M. (G) 6. Yamada T. 4. Nishimura K. 5. Noda H. 41. Ono M. 29. Takae L. 18. Minami S. 25. Kokubu S. 42. Issaka Z. 11. Fujimoto Y. 49. Goto Y.
Substitutes
7. Araki S. 47. Matsumoto D. 2. Okuyama M. 23. Popp W. (G) 10. Takahashi D. 39. Vasquez B. 41. Yasui T.	9. Dellatorre 15. Fujita I. 16. Hasegawa K. (G) 21. Tanaka W. 10. Tiago Alves 24. Yokoyama R. 27. Yoshioka K.
Coaches
Kuroda G.	Watanabe S.

Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Machida Zelvia won 2.

Recent matches Machida Zelvia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Montedio Yamagata in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Machida Zelvia is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Machida Zelvia won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 22-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Machida Zelvia won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Machida Zelvia
Japan J2 League
19.08.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - Machida Zelvia	3:2 ✺
12.08.23	Machida Zelvia - Júbilo Iwata	2:1 ✺
05.08.23	Fagiano Okayama - Machida Zelvia	1:3 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
02.08.23	Machida Zelvia - Albirex Niigata	0:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
29.07.23	Machida Zelvia - Tokushima Vortis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWLW
- Montedio Yamagata
Japan J2 League
19.08.23	Montedio Yamagata - Roasso Kumamoto	2:0 ✺
12.08.23	Montedio Yamagata - JEF United Chiba	1:0 ✺
05.08.23	Fujieda MYFC - Montedio Yamagata	1:2 ✺
29.07.23	Oita Trinita - Montedio Yamagata	0:1 ✺
22.07.23	Montedio Yamagata - V-Varen Nagasaki	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
19.03.23	Montedio Yamagata - Machida Zelvia	0:3
30.07.22	Montedio Yamagata - Machida Zelvia	1:0
17.04.22	Machida Zelvia - Montedio Yamagata	1:1
21.11.21	Montedio Yamagata - Machida Zelvia	3:5
28.02.21	Machida Zelvia - Montedio Yamagata	1:1
02.12.20	Montedio Yamagata - Machida Zelvia	3:2
04.07.20	Machida Zelvia - Montedio Yamagata	0:0

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