Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 30

Date: 7 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Fujieda soccer stadium (Fujieda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Fujieda MYFC		Tochigi

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.25	2.25	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.3
	3	3.2	2.3	Watch
	3.2	3.35	2.44
	3.07	3.2	2.35	Watch
	2.8	3.25	2.25
	3.05	3.18	2.3	Watch
	3	3.2	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.23)	3.22 ↓ (3.42)	2.31 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fujieda MYFC
31%

Draw
28.9%

Tochigi
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

27.1%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

26.3%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fujieda MYFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fujieda MYFC's form might have worsened.

Tochigi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tochigi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fujieda MYFC than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fujieda MYFC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tochigi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Fujieda MYFC - Tochigi Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Fujieda MYFC will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tochigi will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fujieda MYFC: 2.5% – 64.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Kitamura K. C. (G) 22. Hisadomi R. 16. Yamahara K. 4. Nakagawa S. 97. Moyo M. 36. Sese H. 6. Arai T. 13. Osone K. 70. Chiba K. 23. Kajikawa R. 9. Yamura K.	27. Tanno K. (G) 13. Saka K. 2. Hiramatsu W. 33. Rafael Costa 23. Fukushima H. 16. Hyon R. 22. Aoshima T. 10. Mori T. 42. Minamino H. 19. Oshima K. 32. Miyazaki K.
Substitutes
11. Anderson Chaves 8. Asakura R. 33. Kawakami S. 19. Shimabuku K. 3. Suzuki S. 35. Uchiyama K. (G) 99. Wendel	9. Ismaila O. 24. Kanbe K. 1. Kawata S. (G) 15. Okuda K. 6. Omori S. 5. Otani N. 45. Yamamoto O.
Coaches
Sudo D.	Kobayashi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Oshima K. ↓, Yamamoto O. ↑,
62', Osone K. ↓, Shimabuku K. ↑,
73', Mori T. ↓, Omori S. ↑,
74', Chiba K. ↓, Asakura R. ↑,
77', 1 - 0, Yamura K. ⚽,
81', Miyazaki K. ↓, Ismaila O. ↑,
81', Hiramatsu W. ↓, Otani N. ↑,
81', Aoshima T. ↓, Kanbe K. ↑,
82', Hisadomi R. ↓, Suzuki S. ↑,
82', Kajikawa R. ↓, Anderson Chaves ↑,
82', Sese H. ↓, Kawakami S. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fujieda MYFC won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Fujieda MYFC won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fujieda MYFC
Japan J2 League
01.09.24	Roasso Kumamoto - Fujieda MYFC	1:2 ✺
24.08.24	Fujieda MYFC - Montedio Yamagata	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Fujieda MYFC - Renofa Yamaguchi	3:0 ✺
10.08.24	Ventforet Kofu - Fujieda MYFC	3:0 ✺
03.08.24	Kagoshima United - Fujieda MYFC	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WLWLW
- Tochigi SC
Japan J2 League
31.08.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Tochigi	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Tochigi - Ventforet Kofu	1:2 ✺
17.08.24	Tochigi - Blaublitz Akita	0:0 ✺
10.08.24	Renofa Yamaguchi - Tochigi	4:3 ✺
03.08.24	Roasso Kumamoto - Tochigi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan Emperors Cup
12.06.24	Fujieda MYFC - Tochigi	2:0
Japan J2 League
06.05.24	Tochigi - Fujieda MYFC	0:1
03.09.23	Tochigi - Fujieda MYFC	2:0
03.06.23	Fujieda MYFC - Tochigi	1:1

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