Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 26

Date: 10 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Ishin Me-Life Stadium (Yamaguchi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Renofa Yamaguchi		Tochigi

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	4.33	Watch
	1.78	3.2	4
	1.87	3.3	4.2	Watch
	1.88	3.57	4.58
	1.91	3.33	4.14	Watch
	1.8	3.2	4.2
	1.85	3.32	4.22	Watch
	1.87	3.3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.81)	3.32 ↓ (3.44)	4.23 ↓ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renofa Yamaguchi
50.1%

Draw
28%

Tochigi
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

27.1%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

26%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renofa Yamaguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Tochigi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Renofa Yamaguchi - Tochigi Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Renofa Yamaguchi will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tochigi will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Seki K. (G) 15. Mae T. 13. Itakura T. 3. Renan 48. Shimbo K. 16. Yoshioka M. 8. Sato K. 18. Aida Y. 20. Kawano K. 9. Wakatsuki Y. 51. Sakai N.	27. Tanno K. (G) 13. Saka K. 2. Hiramatsu W. 23. Fukushima H. 10. Mori T. 22. Aoshima T. 24. Kanbe K. 6. Omori S. 19. Oshima K. 15. Okuda K. 32. Miyazaki K.
Substitutes
6. Kim Byeom-Yong 28. Kobayashi S. 68. Noyori K. 30. Okuyama Y. 26. Taguchi J. (G) 19. Yamamoto S. 4. Yooyen S.	17. Fujitani T. 16. Hyon R. 7. Ishida R. 1. Kawata S. (G) 38. Kobori S. 42. Minamino H. 45. Yamamoto O.
Coaches
Shigaki R.	Kobayashi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Oshima K. ⚽, Kanbe K. (A),
26', 1 - 1, Saka K. (Own goal),
38', Kanbe K. 🟨,
44', 1 - 2, Miyazaki K. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 2, Kawano K. ⚽, Wakatsuki Y. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', Wakatsuki Y. ↓, Noyori K. ↑,
67', Okuda K. ↓, Minamino H. ↑,
67', Omori S. ↓, Kobori S. ↑,
69', Sakai N. ↓, Yamamoto S. ↑,
70', Kawano K. ↓, Kobayashi S. ↑,
70', Yoshioka M. ↓, Okuyama Y. ↑,
70', 3 - 2, Fukushima H. (Own goal),
76', Noyori K. 🟨,
78', Seki K. 🟨,
80', Miyazaki K. ↓, Yamamoto O. ↑,
80', Aoshima T. ↓, Hyon R. ↑,
81', Sato K. ↓, Kim Byeom-Yong ↑,
84', 4 - 2, Kobayashi S. ⚽,
86', Oshima K. ↓, Ishida R. ↑,
90+5', 4 - 3, Yamamoto O. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Renofa Yamaguchi won 1.

Renofa Yamaguchi is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Tochigi is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Renofa Yamaguchi is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Renofa Yamaguchi won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 13-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Renofa Yamaguchi won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Renofa Yamaguchi
Japan J2 League
03.08.24	Renofa Yamaguchi - Oita Trinita	2:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
17.07.24	Japan Soccer College - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:3 ✺
Japan J2 League
14.07.24	Blaublitz Akita - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:0 ✺
06.07.24	Renofa Yamaguchi - Kagoshima United	1:0 ✺
29.06.24	Mito HollyHock - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWT
- Tochigi SC
Japan J2 League
03.08.24	Roasso Kumamoto - Tochigi	0:2 ✺
14.07.24	Tochigi - Fagiano Okayama	1:1 ✺
06.07.24	Montedio Yamagata - Tochigi	1:0 ✺
29.06.24	Vegalta Sendai - Tochigi	3:2 ✺
22.06.24	Tochigi - JEF United Chiba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
07.04.24	Tochigi - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:0
24.06.23	Tochigi - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:0
08.04.23	Renofa Yamaguchi - Tochigi	1:1
23.07.22	Tochigi - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:1
30.04.22	Renofa Yamaguchi - Tochigi	2:1
05.09.21	Tochigi - Renofa Yamaguchi	3:2
04.04.21	Renofa Yamaguchi - Tochigi	0:1

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