Match Info

J3 League - Round 12

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Toho (Fukushima)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Fukushima United		Thespakusatsu Gunma

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.2	2.6
	2.9	3.3	2.2
	2.99	3.64	2.2
	2.54	3.28	2.68
	2.4	3.1	2.7
	3.09	3.4	2.22	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.5)	3.32 ↓ (3.4)	2.4 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fukushima United
33.7%

Draw
27.8%

Thespakusatsu Gunma
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

26.6%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

26.1%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fukushima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Thespakusatsu Gunma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fukushima United than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Fukushima United - Thespakusatsu Gunma Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fukushima United (votes: 1 - 50%). Thespakusatsu (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ueda T. (G) 23. Anzai T. 27. Nozue S. 25. Toma H. 3. Matsunagane Y. 37. Yui K. 13. Miyazaki T. 6. Uehata U. 14. Nakamura T. 29. Ishii R. 10. Mori K.	21. Kim Je-hee (G) 35. Tamashiro T. 43. Nose S. 3. Ohata R. 22. Takahashi Y. 36. Adachi S. 8. Yamauchi R. 27. Fujimura R. 38. Konishi H. 9. Aoki S. 11. Kagami T.
Substitutes
31. Anzai S. (G) 38. Awano K. 17. Fujitani T. 7. Harigaya T. 40. Higuchi H. 20. Jojo K. 30. Kano K. 9. Shimizu K. 28. Suzu N.	32. Kawata A. 14. Kikuchi K. 13. Kondo I. (G) 25. Nakano R. 7. Nishimura Y. 20. Shimokawa T. 2. Tagashira R. 17. Yamanaka A. 6. Yonehara S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
34', Yamauchi R. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Aoki S. ⚽, Fujimura R. (A),
43', 0 - 2, Konishi H. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Yui K. ↓, Harigaya T. ↑,
46', Miyazaki T. ↓, Jojo K. ↑,
55', 1 - 2, Nakamura T. ⚽, Anzai T. (A),
59', 1 - 3, Takahashi Y. ⚽, Adachi S. (A),
67', Nakamura T. ↓, Higuchi H. ↑,
68', Fujimura R. ↓, Shimokawa T. ↑,
68', Yamauchi R. ↓, Yonehara S. ↑,
69', Adachi S. ↓, Nishimura Y. ↑,
72', 1 - 4, Yonehara S. ⚽, Shimokawa T. (A),
73', Anzai T. ↓, Suzu N. ↑,
76', Ishii R. ↓, Shimizu K. ↑,
81', Konishi H. ↓, Tagashira R. ↑,
89', Kagami T. ↓, Yamanaka A. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 4, Shimizu K. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 17).

Fukushima United has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Thespakusatsu is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Fukushima United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Fukushima United has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fukushima United
Japan J3 League
03.05.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Fukushima United	1:2 ✺
23.04.25	Fukushima United - Azul Claro Numazu	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Fukushima United - Kochi United	3:4 ✺
Japan J League Cup
16.04.25	Fukushima United - Kashiwa Reysol	2:3 ✺
Japan J3 League
12.04.25	Fukushima United - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTLLW
- Thespakusatsu Gunma
Japan J3 League
03.05.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Gifu	1:1 ✺
18.04.25	Osaka - Thespakusatsu Gunma	4:3 ✺
13.04.25	Sagamihara - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLTTL

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