Match Info

Premier League - Round 28

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Craven Cottage (London)

Referee: Tierney P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
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Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Mix
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	Toffee Live
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, FuboTV
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay, Viaplay Sport News
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport 360
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Mix, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 2
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
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India	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 2
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Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
Japan	U-NEXT
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Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 2, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 3, Sooka
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Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
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Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
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Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 3
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	Sky Sport Mix, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Pershiy, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports UHD, Sky Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock, SiriusXM FC, USA Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	FPT Play


	Fulham		Tottenham Hotspur

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.7
	2.15	3.5	3.25
	2	3.7	3.7
	2.11	3.8	3.63
	2.02	3.8	3.66	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.6
	2.04	3.78	3.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.36)	3.67 ↑ (3.46)	3.62 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fulham
47.3%

Draw
26.2%

Tottenham Hotspur
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

27.4%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

27%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fulham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fulham's performance.

Tottenham Hotspur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tottenham Hotspur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fulham that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tottenham Hotspur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.3%	7.9%	23.8%

Fulham - Tottenham Hotspur Predictions

Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Fulham will win (votes: 43 - 69.4%). Tottenham will win (votes: 14 - 22.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 8.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fulham: 57.9% – 80.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Tottenham (1.81) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH +0.5 - Tottenham (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Fulham (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fulham will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Fulham (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Tottenham (votes: 5 - 29.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leno B. (C) 2. Tete K. 31. Diop I. 3. Bassey C. 30. Sessegnon R. 17. Iwobi A. 16. Berge S. 8. Wilson H. 32. Smith Rowe E. 14. Bobb O. 7. Jimenez R.	1. Vicario G. (G) 23. Porro P. 3. Dragusin R. 37. van de Ven M. (C) 14. Gray A. 22. Gallagher C. 8. Bissouma Y. 6. Palhinha J. 7. Simons X. 39. Kolo Muani R. 19. Solanke D.
Substitutes
10. Cairney T. 21. Castagne T. 19. Chukwueze S. 15. Cuenca J. 24. King J. 23. Lecomte B. (G) 6. Reed H. 33. Robinson A. 9. Rodrigo Muniz	40. Austin B. (G) 4. Danso K. 31. Kinsky A. (G) 52. Olusesi C. 9. Richarlison 76. Rowswell J. 29. Sarr P. M. 38. Souza 11. Tel M.
Coaches
Silva M.	Tudor I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Wilson H. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Iwobi A. ⚽, Wilson H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Gallagher C. ↓, Sarr P. M. ↑,
58', Simons X. ↓, Richarlison ↑,
58', Kolo Muani R. ↓, Tel M. ↑,
61', Diop I. 🟨,
64', van de Ven M. 🟨,
66', 2 - 1, Richarlison ⚽, Gray A. (A),
66', Richarlison 🟨,
66', Bassey C. 🟨,
72', Wilson H. ↓, Chukwueze S. ↑,
72', Smith Rowe E. ↓, Cairney T. ↑,
73', Jimenez R. ↓, Rodrigo Muniz ↑,
74', Bobb O. ↓, King J. ↑,
80', Bissouma Y. ↓, Souza ↑,
90', Iwobi A. ↓, Cuenca J. ↑,
90', Dragusin R. ↓, Danso K. ↑,
90+2', Cairney T. 🟨,
90+5', Porro P. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fulham won 3.

Fulham has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tottenham has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tottenham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Fulham has had a series of away games.

Fulham might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Fulham: Lukic S. (Injury)

There will not play in Tottenham: Bentancur R. (Muscle Injury) Bergvall L. (Ankle Injury) Davies B. (Ankle Injury) Kudus M. (Muscle Injury) Kulusevski D. (Knee Injury) Maddison J. (Knee Injury) Odobert W. (Knee Injury) Romero C. (Red Card) Udogie D. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Fulham: Chukwueze S. (Calf Injury) Kevin (Injury) Robinson A. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Tottenham: Danso K. (Toe Injury) Porro P. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Fulham won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:28. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Fulham won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1:1.4).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Tottenham: 0.76% Fulham: 0.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5:8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2:8	-6	2

Last Results with these Odds

Fulham - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 40.25%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fulham FC
English Premier League
22.02.26	Sunderland - Fulham	1:3 ✺
English FA Cup
15.02.26	Stoke City - Fulham	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
11.02.26	Manchester City - Fulham	3:0 ✺
07.02.26	Fulham - Everton	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Manchester United - Fulham	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLLL
- Tottenham Hotspur
English Premier League
22.02.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Arsenal	1:4 ✺
10.02.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Newcastle United	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Manchester United - Tottenham Hotspur	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester City	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Tottenham Hotspur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
29.11.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Fulham	1:2
16.03.25	Fulham - Tottenham Hotspur	2:0
01.12.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Fulham	1:1
16.03.24	Fulham - Tottenham Hotspur	3:0
23.10.23	Tottenham Hotspur - Fulham	2:0
English League Cup
29.08.23	Fulham - Tottenham Hotspur	2:1 penalties
English Premier League
23.01.23	Fulham - Tottenham Hotspur	0:1

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