Match Info

FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bet365 Stadium (Stoke on Trent) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Smith J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport OTT 7, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	11:00	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	01:00	Stan Sport
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	11:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	16:00	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	09:00	Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World
China	22:00	Migu
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	15:00	Viaplay
Finland	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Germany	15:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	16:00	COSMOTE Sport 8
Hong Kong	22:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports Prime
Hungary	15:00	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	14:00	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	19:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	21:00	Vidio
Italy	15:00	DAZN Italia, Discovery+
Japan	23:00	U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	20:00	Sport+
Kenya	17:00	Gotv
Kosovo	15:00	Arena Premium 2
Macao	22:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	22:00	SKY NET Sports X
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	08:00	FOX One
Mongolia	22:00	Premier Sports 1
Netherlands	15:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	15:00	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport OTT 7, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	15:00	Viaplay
Pakistan	19:00	Tapmad
Peru	09:00	Disney+
Portugal	14:00	Sport TV2
Romania	16:00	Voyo
Serbia	15:00	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	22:00	Hub Premier 4, HUB Sports 2
Slovenia	15:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	16:00	SuperSport OTT 7, SuperSport Premier League
South Korea	23:00	Coupang Play
Sweden	15:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	17:00	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
Ukraine	16:00	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	14:00	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 6
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+
Vietnam	21:00	FPT Play


	Stoke City		Fulham

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.9	1.61
	4.95	4.15	1.65
	5.19	4.05	1.67
	4.81	3.96	1.7	Watch
	4.6	3.6	1.67
	5.2	4.06	1.69	Watch
	4.75	4	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.89 ↑ (4.41)	3.96 ↑ (3.71)	1.67 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Stoke City
19.4%

Draw
23.9%

Fulham
56.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.2%

25.2%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

24.7%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Fulham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19%	14.3%	66.7%

Stoke City - Fulham Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 4 - 19%). Fulham will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fulham: 46.5% – 86.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fulham will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Simkin T. (G) 26. Phillips A. 40. Talovierov M. 16. Wilmot B. (C) 17. Bocat E. 12. Seko T. 19. Rigo T. 7. Thomas S. 10. Bae J. 29. Cisse L. 49. Smit M.	23. Lecomte B. (G) 21. Castagne T. 31. Diop I. 15. Cuenca J. 33. Robinson A. 6. Reed H. (C) 17. Iwobi A. 14. Bobb O. 24. King J. 22. Kevin 9. Rodrigo Muniz
Substitutes
3. Cresswell A. 55. Curley R. 34. Fielding F. (G) 23. Gibson B. 42. Manhoef M. 15. N'Zonzi S. 54. Otegbayo R. 4. Pearson B. 21. Rak-Sakyi J.	5. Andersen J. 3. Bassey C. 16. Berge S. 7. Jimenez R. 1. Leno B. (G) 30. Sessegnon R. 32. Smith Rowe E. 2. Tete K. 8. Wilson H.
Coaches
Robins M.	Silva M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Bae J. ⚽, Bocat E. (A),
45+1', Castagne T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 1 - 1, Kevin ⚽,
74', Bae J. 🟨,
74', Diop I. 🟨,
77', King J. ↓, Smith Rowe E. ↑,
77', Rodrigo Muniz ↓, Jimenez R. ↑,
78', Rigo T. ↓, Pearson B. ↑,
78', Smit M. ↓, Rak-Sakyi J. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Reed H. ⚽,
86', Bobb O. ↓, Wilson H. ↑,
89', Bocat E. ↓, Cresswell A. ↑,
89', Bae J. ↓, Manhoef M. ↑,
89', Seko T. ↓, N'Zonzi S. ↑,
90', Reed H. ↓, Berge S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 2.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Stoke may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fulham is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Stoke won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).

Outrights of English FA Cup for now

Fulham: 1.74%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stoke City
English League Championship
11.02.26	Charlton Athletic - Stoke City	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	West Bromwich Albion - Stoke City	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Stoke City - Southampton	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Birmingham City - Stoke City	1:1 ✺
21.01.26	Stoke City - Middlesbrough	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTLTL
- Fulham FC
English Premier League
11.02.26	Manchester City - Fulham	3:0 ✺
07.02.26	Fulham - Everton	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Manchester United - Fulham	3:2 ✺
24.01.26	Fulham - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Leeds United - Fulham	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
22.01.22	Stoke City - Fulham	2:3
28.08.21	Fulham - Stoke City	3:0
29.12.19	Fulham - Stoke City	1:0
19.10.19	Stoke City - Fulham	2:0
English League Cup
22.09.15	Fulham - Stoke City	0:1
English Premier League
03.05.14	Stoke City - Fulham	4:1
05.10.13	Fulham - Stoke City	1:0

Upcoming Matches