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Manchester City - Fulham: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Premier League - Round 26
  • Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday
  • Location: Etihad Stadium (Manchester)
  • Referee: Tierney P. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Manchester City Fulham
    Manchester City Fulham
    1 X 2
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    (Initially)    		 1.38 ↓
    (1.41)    		 5.34 ↑
    (5.02)    		 7.61 ↑
    (7.52)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

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    Current Win Probability

    Manchester City
    69.5%    		Draw
    17.9%    		Fulham
    12.6%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    68.1% 19.1% 12.8%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    67.1% 18.8% 13%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Fulham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    87.5% 7.5% 5%

    Manchester City - Fulham Predictions

  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1.75 - Man City (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Man City (1.09) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Man City (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH -1 - Man City (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Man City (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Manchester City will win (69 of 79 users predict this - 87.34%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.01% – 94.67%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester City will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Man City (votes: 24 - 96%). Fulham (votes: 1 - 4%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    25. ItalyDonnarumma G. (G)
    27. PortugalNunes M.
      3. PortugalDias R.
    15. EnglandGuehi M.
    21. AlgeriaAit-Nouri R.
    20. PortugalSilva B. (C)
    16. SpainRodri
    33. EnglandO'Reilly N.
    47. EnglandFoden P.
      9. NorwayHaaland E.
    42. GhanaSemenyo A.
    		  1. GermanyLeno B. (G)
      2. NetherlandsTete K.
      5. DenmarkAndersen J. (C)
      3. NigeriaBassey C.
    30. EnglandSessegnon R.
    16. NorwayBerge S.
    17. NigeriaIwobi A.
      8. WalesWilson H.
    32. EnglandSmith Rowe E.
    19. NigeriaChukwueze S.
      7. MexicoJimenez R.
    Substitutes
    68. EnglandAlleyne M.
    10. FranceCherki R.
    45. UzbekistanKhusanov A.
    82. EnglandLewis R.
      7. EgyptMarmoush O.
    14. SpainNico
      4. NetherlandsReijnders T.
      5. EnglandStones J.
      1. EnglandTrafford J. (G)
    		14. NorwayBobb O.
    21. BelgiumCastagne T.
    15. SpainCuenca J.
    22. BrazilKevin
    24. EnglandKing J.
    23. FranceLecomte B. (G)
      6. EnglandReed H.
    33. USARobinson A.
      9. BrazilRodrigo Muniz
    Coaches
         SpainGuardiola P.
    		     PortugalSilva M.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (3 - 0)
    • 24', 1 - 0, Semenyo A. ⚽,
    • 30', 2 - 0, O'Reilly N. ⚽, Semenyo A. (A),
    • 31', Andersen J. 🟨,
    • 39', 3 - 0, Haaland E. ⚽, Foden P. (A),
    • 41', Silva B. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
    • 46', Haaland E. ↓, Marmoush O. ↑,
    • 60', Silva B. ↓, Reijnders T. ↑,
    • 60', Nunes M. ↓, Khusanov A. ↑,
    • 60', Jimenez R. ↓, Rodrigo Muniz ↑,
    • 60', Smith Rowe E. ↓, King J. ↑,
    • 60', Chukwueze S. ↓, Kevin ↑,
    • 66', Foden P. 🟨,
    • 71', Foden P. ↓, Cherki R. ↑,
    • 71', Rodri ↓, Nico ↑,
    • 72', Wilson H. ↓, Bobb O. ↑,
    • 81', Berge S. ↓, Reed H. ↑,
    • 83', Nico 🟨,
    • 84', Guardiola P. 🟨,

    Preview

  • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 12).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man City won 5.
  • Man City is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Fulham has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • Man City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, Man City is the undisputed favorite.
  • There will not play in Man City: Doku J. (Calf Injury) Gvardiol J. (Broken Leg) Kovacic M. (Heel Injury) Savinho (Health problems) Stones J. (Thigh Injury)
  • There will not play in Fulham: Cairney T. (Calf Injury) Lukic S. (Injury)
  • There are questionable in Man City: Khusanov A. (Injury)
  • We predict that Man City will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
  • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Man City won 19 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 59:13. (average 3.1:0.7).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Man City won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 35:5. (average 3.2:0.5).

    • Outrights of English Premier League for now
    Manchester City: 17.65% Fulham: 0.22%

    Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Manchester City550013:5815
    19Fulham50235:8-32

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Manchester City
    English Premier League
    08.02.26 Liverpool - Manchester City 1:2 ✺
    English League Cup
    04.02.26 Manchester City - Newcastle United 3:1 ✺
    English Premier League
    01.02.26 Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester City 2:2 ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    28.01.26 Manchester City - Galatasaray 2:0 ✺
    English Premier League
    24.01.26 Manchester City - Wolverhampton Wanderers 2:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1
    WWTWW
    - Fulham FC
    English Premier League
    07.02.26 Fulham - Everton 1:2 ✺
    01.02.26 Manchester United - Fulham 3:2 ✺
    24.01.26 Fulham - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:1 ✺
    17.01.26 Leeds United - Fulham 1:0 ✺
    English FA Cup
    10.01.26 Fulham - Middlesbrough 3:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5
    LLWLW
    Latest Head to Head
    English Premier League
    02.12.25 Fulham - Manchester City 4:5
    25.05.25 Fulham - Manchester City 0:2
    05.10.24 Manchester City - Fulham 3:2
    11.05.24 Fulham - Manchester City 0:4
    02.09.23 Manchester City - Fulham 5:1
    30.04.23 Fulham - Manchester City 1:2
    05.11.22 Manchester City - Fulham 2:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Manchester City
    UEFA Champions League
    14.10.26 Manchester City - Paris Saint-Germain ✺
    English Premier League
    11.10.26 Liverpool - Manchester City ✺
    - Fulham FC
    English Premier League
    10.10.26 Ipswich Town - Fulham ✺

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