Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 11

Date: 24 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: Mill Farm (Wesham)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	National League TV


	Fylde		Tamworth

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	2.9
	2.15	3.3	2.8
	2.15	3.5	3.1
	2.36	3.64	2.85
	2.28	3.54	2.91	Watch
	2	3.4	3.25
	2.28	3.44	2.84
	2.15	3.5	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2)	3.47 ↑ (3.4)	2.97 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fylde
42.1%

Draw
26.7%

Tamworth
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

26.1%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

27.4%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fylde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-3%)

Fylde - Tamworth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Winterbottom B. (G) 3. Evans O. 10. Haughton N. 23. Hosannah B. J. 7. Jolley C. 6. Long A. 20. Massey G. 8. Mitchell E. 34. O'Kane T. 29. Ormerod D. 17. Whelan C. (C)	1. Singh J. (G) 5. Digie K. 11. Fairlamb L. 26. Hollis H. 19. McGlinchey T. 8. Milnes B. 15. Morrison G. 28. Sundire M. 20. Tshikuna N. 14. Williams K. 12. Wreh C.
Substitutes
2. Gamble P. 5. Obi E. 1. Richardson T. (G) 40. Riley J. 21. Roberts T. 11. Ustabasi J. 9. Zanzala O.	22. Beck-Ray E. 9. Creaney D. 2. Curley M. 23. Lissimore K. 27. Okafor M. 21. Phillips L. (G) 4. Tonks T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', McGlinchey T. 🟨,
17', Whelan C. 🟨,
39', Ormerod D. 🟨,
45+2', Gamble P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Massey G. ↓, Ustabasi J. ↑,
48', 0 - 1, McGlinchey T. ⚽,
65', Jolley C. ↓, Zanzala O. ↑,
66', O'Kane T. ↓, Riley J. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Haughton N. (Pen),
68', Ormerod D. ↓, Roberts T. ↑,
74', Wreh C. ↓, Creaney D. ↑,
77', Tshikuna N. ↓, Lissimore K. ↑,
83', Milnes B. 🟨,
85', Milnes B. ↓, Tonks T. ↑,
86', Morrison G. 🟨,
90', Roberts T. 🟨,
90+6', Williams K. ↓, Okafor M. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 2, Creaney D. ⚽,
90+6', Creaney D. 🟨,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 20 and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fylde won 1.

Fylde is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tamworth is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fylde could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Fylde will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Fylde won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Fylde won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Fylde
English National League
21.09.24	Fylde - Woking	1:1 ✺
17.09.24	Fylde - Southend United	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	York City - Fylde	3:0 ✺
10.09.24	Forest Green Rovers - Fylde	3:0 ✺
07.09.24	Fylde - Yeovil Town	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWLLL
- Tamworth
English National League
21.09.24	Braintree Town - Tamworth	0:1 ✺
14.09.24	Tamworth - Maidenhead United	3:1 ✺
07.09.24	Eastleigh - Tamworth	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	Barnet - Tamworth	7:0 ✺
26.08.24	Tamworth - Aldershot Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
25.02.17	Fylde - Tamworth	3:1
29.10.16	Tamworth - Fylde	1:0
16.04.16	Tamworth - Fylde	3:1
12.09.15	Fylde - Tamworth	2:2
28.02.15	Fylde - Tamworth	1:1
07.10.14	Tamworth - Fylde	0:3

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