Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Roberto Suazo Cordova (La Paz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV


	Génesis PN		Juticalpa

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.05	4.55
	1.61	3.9	4.54
	1.63	4.09	4.75	Watch
	1.62	3.6	4.6
	1.68	3.95	4.51	Watch
	1.51	4.01	5.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.51)	3.93 ↓ (3.98)	4.68 ↓ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Génesis PN
57.2%

Draw
23.3%

Juticalpa
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

22.7%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

22.1%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Génesis PN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Juticalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Génesis PN than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juticalpa than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Génesis PN - Juticalpa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez D. (G) 30. Riascos J. 14. Mosquera J. 2. Vargas A. 32. Gabriel Araujo 15. Maldonado E. 22. Sander R. 25. Felix B. 33. Melendez D. 13. Tejeda A. 66. Perez K.	1. Torres D. (G) 25. Mendoza D. 6. Garcia J. 24. Silva F. 33. Galindo A. 18. Lacayo J. 20. Gonzalez R. 10. Canales M. 14. Altamirano C. 28. Gomez A. 9. Villafranca J.
Substitutes
26. Arzu Zapata C. I. 12. Balanta R. A. (G) 7. Miranda J. 8. Nieto J. 79. Palomo A. 27. Paz J. 19. Perez J. 20. Solano M. 23. Valencia Y.	51. Bernardez K. . Castelanos H. 35. Facusse E. (G) 7. Fajardo A. 15. Gaboriell N. 11. Hurtado L. 19. Ilan 34. Ledesma D. 38. Rodriguez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Tejeda A. (Penalty Awarded),
25', 0 - 1, Altamirano C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gomez A. ↓, Bernardez K. ↑,
58', Riascos J. ↓, Miranda J. ↑,
58', Felix B. ↓, Palomo A. ↑,
59', Mendoza D. ↓, Gaboriell N. ↑,
66', Lacayo J. ↓, Hurtado L. ↑,
72', Palomo A. 🟨,
72', Garcia J. 🟨,
75', Melendez D. ↓, Arzu Zapata C. I. ↑,
79', Canales M. ↓, Castellanos H. ↑,
79', Villafranca J. ↓, Fajardo A. ↑,
89', Hurtado L. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Génesis won 2.

Génesis has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Juticalpa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Génesis is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Génesis won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.3:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Génesis won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Genesis	8	3	2	3	10:6	4	11
11	Juticalpa	8	2	0	6	8:19	-11	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Génesis Policía Nacional
Honduras Liga Nacional
24.03.26	Choloma - Génesis PN	1:2 ✺
18.03.26	Real España - Génesis PN	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Génesis PN - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:2 ✺
11.03.26	Génesis PN - Olancho	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Victoria La Ceiba - Génesis PN	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLLTW
- Juticalpa FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
22.03.26	Juticalpa - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:6 ✺
18.03.26	Juticalpa - CD Marathón	0:4 ✺
14.03.26	Choloma - Juticalpa	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Lobos UPNFM - Juticalpa	3:2 ✺
28.02.26	Juticalpa - Victoria La Ceiba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
06.02.26	Juticalpa - Génesis PN	1:1
03.12.25	Génesis PN - Juticalpa	2:2
24.09.25	Juticalpa - Génesis PN	1:1
26.04.25	Génesis PN - Juticalpa	1:0
23.02.25	Juticalpa - Génesis PN	0:1
30.11.24	Génesis PN - Juticalpa	3:0
21.09.24	Juticalpa - Génesis PN	0:0

Upcoming Matches