The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Génesis PN 36.7%
Draw 28.9%
Olancho 34.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.7%
27.2%
38.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.6%
27.1%
38.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Génesis PN has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Olancho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Génesis PN than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olancho than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Génesis PN - Olancho Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Balanta R. A. (G) 9. Alderete E. 27. Figueroa J. 24. Fonseca C. 12. Gabriel Araujo 44. Gamboa M. 15. Maldonado E. 33. Melendez D. 17. Nunez D. 22. Sander R. 2. Vargas A.
29. Argueta G. (G) 2. Almendarez O. 27. Bengtson J. 20. Cabrera Y. A. 22. Canavesio R. 8. Gomez H. 53. Hydes Rivera D. T. 5. Martinez D. 33. Munoz N. 24. Pozantes S. 7. Rodriguez D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Melendez D. 🟥,
32', Martinez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Martinez D. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
46', Cabrera Y. A. ↓, Ramirez Arauz M. R. ↑,
46', Hydes Rivera D. T. ↓, Andino D. ↑,
46', Figueroa J. ↓, Felix B. ↑,
62', Pozantes S. ↓, Antunez M. ↑,
64', Alvarado A. ↓, Solano M. ↑,
65', Martinez W. ↓, Sander R. ↑,
80', Gomez H. ↓, Joanderson ↑,
84', Alderete E. ↓, Arzu Zapata C. I. ↑,
87', Munoz N. 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 5th in the Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 6th in the Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Génesis won 1.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Génesis may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Génesis has recorded 3 wins, 10 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:21 (averaging 1.1:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Génesis against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 6 draws, and 1 loss, with 8:9 goals (averaging 1:1.1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Genesis
8
3
2
3
10:6
4
11
6
Olancho
8
2
5
1
6:5
1
11
Last Results with these Odds
Génesis PN - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 34.68%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
Olancho - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 38.11%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Honduras
Watch
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Balanta R. A. (G) 
Alderete E. 
Figueroa J. 
Gabriel Araujo 
Gamboa M. 
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