Match Info

POLAND: POLISH CUP - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 8 November 2022, Tuesday

Location: Stadion GKS Górnik Łęczna (Leczna)

Referee: Kawalko G. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport Extra


	Górnik Łęczna		Piast Gliwice

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.1
	3.25	3.35	2.1
	3.15	3.3	2.09
	3.24	3.49	2.16
	3.1	3.2	2.1
	3.2	3.48	2.13	Watch
	3.3	3.5	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↓ (3.75)	3.36 ↓ (3.55)	2.1 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik Łęczna
28.9%

Draw
27.4%

Piast Gliwice
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

26.2%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

24.8%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Łęczna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Piast Gliwice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Piast Gliwice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Górnik Łęczna - Piast Gliwice Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Górnik Łęczna will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Piast will win (votes: 8 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Piast: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Górnik Łęczna won 1.

Górnik Łęczna is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Piast is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Piast could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Piast will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Górnik Łęczna won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Górnik Łęczna won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Łęczna
Polish Division 1
04.11.22	Wisła Kraków - Górnik Łęczna	1:2 ✺
30.10.22	Górnik Łęczna - Chrobry Głogów	0:2 ✺
23.10.22	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Górnik Łęczna	2:2 ✺
Polish Cup
18.10.22	Górnik Łęczna - Korona Kielce	1:0 ✺
Polish Division 1
15.10.22	Górnik Łęczna - Skra Częstochowa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WLTWW
- Piast Gliwice
Polish Ekstraklasa
05.11.22	Piast Gliwice - Warta Poznań	0:2 ✺
29.10.22	Korona Kielce - Piast Gliwice	1:1 ✺
24.10.22	Piast Gliwice - Radomiak Radom	1:2 ✺
Polish Cup
18.10.22	Stal Mielec - Piast Gliwice	0:3 ET ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
15.10.22	Pogoń Szczecin - Piast Gliwice	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
09.04.22	Piast Gliwice - Górnik Łęczna	1:0
16.10.21	Górnik Łęczna - Piast Gliwice	1:1
20.05.17	Piast Gliwice - Górnik Łęczna	2:1
26.02.17	Górnik Łęczna - Piast Gliwice	1:0
10.09.16	Piast Gliwice - Górnik Łęczna	3:3
13.02.16	Górnik Łęczna - Piast Gliwice	0:0
29.08.15	Piast Gliwice - Górnik Łęczna	3:0

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