Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 26

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach (Gliwice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz


	Piast Gliwice		Radomiak Radom

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	3.2	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3.1
	2.18	3.25	3.15	Watch
	2.22	3.45	3.34
	2.18	3.41	3.38	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3.2
	2.21	3.29	3.39	Watch
	2.14	3.14	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.14)	3.29 ↑ (3.14)	3.22 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Piast Gliwice
42.7%

Draw
28.3%

Radomiak Radom
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

28.5%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

27.4%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piast Gliwice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Radomiak Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45%	25%	30%

Piast Gliwice - Radomiak Radom Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Piast will win (votes: 9 - 45%). Radomiak will win (votes: 6 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Piast: 23.2% – 66.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Szymanski K. (G) 55. Twumasi E. 4. Czerwinski J. (C) 29. Drapinski I. 3. Fikaj E. 10. Dziczek P. 20. Tomasiewicz G. 98. Lokilo J. 7. Felix J. 80. Vallejo H. 63. Barkovskiy G.	1. Majchrowicz F. (G) 24. Zie Ouattara 14. Kingue S. 26. Dieguez A. 3. Wilson-Esbrand J. 28. Kaput M. 82. Luquinhas 27. Wolski R. (C) 77. Donis C. 21. Balde E. 25. Maurides
Substitutes
28. Borowski F. 6. Chrapek M. 9. Dalmau A. 12. Grelich J. (G) 70. Katsantonis A. 31. Lesniak O. 90. Lima I. 22. Mokwa T. 11. Sanca L.	6. Baro R. 5. Blasco J. 2. Camara I. 16. Cichocki M. 13. Grzesik J. 75. Jerke M. (G) 20. Joao Pedro 44. Koptas W. (G) 7. Lopes V. 19. Soumah S. 15. Tapsoba A. 17. Zabicki A.
Coaches
Mysliwiec D.	Ramirez F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Felix J. ⚽, Lokilo J. (A),
33', Twumasi E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Wilson-Esbrand J. ↓, Grzesik J. ↑,
46', Kaput M. ↓, Lopes V. ↑,
51', Kingue S. 🟨,
51', Barkovskiy G. (Penalty Awarded),
54', Lokilo J. 🟨,
58', Balde E. ↓, Soumah S. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Wolski R. ⚽,
63', 2 - 1, Twumasi E. ⚽, Felix J. (A),
66', Luquinhas 🟨,
66', Lokilo J. ↓, Lesniak O. ↑,
71', Zie Ouattara 🟨,
72', Felix J. ↓, Sanca L. ↑,
74', Maurides ↓, Tapsoba A. ↑,
78', Wolski R. ↓, Baro R. ↑,
80', Fikaj E. ↓, Borowski F. ↑,
89', 3 - 1, Sanca L. ⚽,
90+4', Czerwinski J. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Piast won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Piast is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Piast: Plach F. (Inactive)

There will not play in Radomiak: Alves R. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Piast: Boisgard Q. (Inactive)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Piast won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Piast won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Piast Gliwice: 0.83% Radomiak Radom: 0.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Piast Gliwice	9	4	1	4	16:15	1	13
15	Radomiak Radom	9	2	2	5	7:20	-13	8

Last Results with these Odds

Radomiak Radom - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 29.79%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piast Gliwice
Polish Ekstraklasa
14.03.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Piast Gliwice	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Piast Gliwice - Zagłębie Lubin	1:3 ✺
27.02.26	Cracovia - Piast Gliwice	2:3 ✺
20.02.26	Piast Gliwice - Motor Lublin	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Lech Poznań - Piast Gliwice	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WLWLL
- Radomiak Radom
Polish Ekstraklasa
13.03.26	Radomiak Radom - Legia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Radomiak Radom - GKS Katowice	0:1 ✺
05.03.26	Radomiak Radom - Arka Gdynia	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Radomiak Radom	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Radomiak Radom	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
20.09.25	Radomiak Radom - Piast Gliwice	1:0
04.05.25	Piast Gliwice - Radomiak Radom	0:0
03.11.24	Radomiak Radom - Piast Gliwice	1:1
08.03.24	Piast Gliwice - Radomiak Radom	2:3
02.09.23	Radomiak Radom - Piast Gliwice	1:1
06.05.23	Radomiak Radom - Piast Gliwice	0:1
24.10.22	Piast Gliwice - Radomiak Radom	1:2

Upcoming Matches