Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 32

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla (Zabrze)

Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Strike, Strike
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Ukraine	Sport 1
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Górnik Zabrze		Zagłębie Lubin

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.4	5.25	Watch
	1.66	3.6	5
	1.65	3.6	5.15	Watch
	1.67	3.79	5.68
	1.66	3.72	5.69	Watch
	1.65	3.4	5
	1.72	3.56	5.24	Watch
	1.79	3.55	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 (1.68)	3.58 ↑ (3.18)	5.16 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik Zabrze
55.7%

Draw
26.1%

Zagłębie Lubin
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

27.8%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

24.5%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	20%	10%

Górnik Zabrze - Zagłębie Lubin Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Górnik Zabrze: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Górnik Zabrze (1.79) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Górnik Zabrze (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lubik M. (G) 61. Sacek M. 26. Janicki R. 4. Bochniewicz P. 64. Janza E. (C) 18. Ambros L. 8. Hellebrand P. 14. Kubicki J. 7. Ikia Dimi Y. 23. Liseth S. 33. Khlan M.	1. Buric J. (G) 13. Grzybek M. 25. Nalepa M. 4. Michalski D. 16. Corluka J. 39. Kocaba F. 8. Dabrowski D. (C) 44. Regula M. 26. Kolan J. 18. Radwanski A. 9. Kosidis M.
Substitutes
28. Donio B. 20. Josema 99. Loska T. (G) 17. Lukoszek K. 16. Olkowski P. 10. Podolski L. 36. Rakoczy M. 77. Rupanov B. 13. Sadilek L. 21. Sauer M. 5. Szczesniak K. 67. Zmrzly O.	20. Dziewiatowski M. 12. Gikiewicz R. (G) 7. Kowalczyk S. 84. Ligocki J. 35. Lucic L. 6. Makowski T. 21. Marek S. 88. Mlinaric M. 19. Sypek J. 17. Szabo L. 11. Wozniak A.
Coaches
Gasparik M.	Ojrzynski L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Sacek M. ↓, Olkowski P. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Ikia Dimi Y. ↓, Zmrzly O. ↑,
46', Kubicki J. ↓, Rakoczy M. ↑,
59', Kosidis M. ↓, Szabo L. ↑,
63', 0 - 1, Kolan J. ⚽, Szabo L. (A),
72', Szabo L. 🟨,
74', Radwanski A. ↓, Sypek J. ↑,
74', Regula M. ↓, Dziewiatowski M. ↑,
75', 0 - 2, Szabo L. ⚽, Sypek J. (A),
76', Liseth S. ↓, Podolski L. ↑,
76', Janza E. ↓, Lukoszek K. ↑,
85', Kolan J. ↓, Makowski T. ↑,
85', Dabrowski D. ↓, Lucic L. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 1.

Górnik Zabrze is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Zagłębie Lubin has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Górnik Zabrze is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Hladun D. (Shoulder Injury) Orlikowski I. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Zagłębie Lubin: Regula M. (Injury)

We predict that Górnik Zabrze will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:28. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Zabrze won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1:1.1).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Gornik Zabrze: 20.78% Zaglebie: 0.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gornik Zabrze	10	8	1	1	19:9	10	25
8	Zaglebie	10	4	3	3	12:13	-1	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Zabrze
Polish Cup
02.05.26	Górnik Zabrze - Raków Częstochowa	2:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
24.04.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Górnik Zabrze - Korona Kielce	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Legia Warsaw - Górnik Zabrze	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
08.04.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Górnik Zabrze	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWWTW
- Zagłębie Lubin
Polish Ekstraklasa
03.05.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Cracovia	0:0 ✺
24.04.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Termalica Nieciecza	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Legia Warsaw - Zagłębie Lubin	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Radomiak Radom	0:2 ET ✺
07.04.26	Arka Gdynia - Zagłębie Lubin	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
07.11.25	Zagłębie Lubin - Górnik Zabrze	2:0
11.04.25	Zagłębie Lubin - Górnik Zabrze	2:1
05.10.24	Górnik Zabrze - Zagłębie Lubin	0:1
08.04.24	Zagłębie Lubin - Górnik Zabrze	1:2
02.10.23	Górnik Zabrze - Zagłębie Lubin	0:2
14.04.23	Zagłębie Lubin - Górnik Zabrze	0:2
01.10.22	Górnik Zabrze - Zagłębie Lubin	2:3

Górnik Zabrze - Zagłębie Lubin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide