Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 30

Date: 21 August 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda (Santiago del Estero)

Referee: Acita F. (Arg)


	Güemes		Almirante Brown

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.3
	2.2	2.95	3.25
	2.3	2.88	3.45
	2.4	2.91	3.52
	2.2	2.9	3.3
	2.26	3.13	3.4
	2.26	3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.47)	2.98 ↑ (2.96)	3.35 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Güemes
41%

Draw
31.2%

Almirante Brown
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

31.5%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

33.1%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Almirante Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	69.2%	0%

Güemes - Almirante Brown Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Güemes will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mendonca J. (G) 4. Bellone A. O. 2. Machuca B. 6. Escudero M. 3. Sambataro M. 7. Casa M. 8. Bellone M. (C) 5. Alvarez L. 10. Carruega S. 11. Contreras E. 9. Cano L.	1. Martinez R. (G) 4. Mino F. 2. Moreno C. 6. Barrionuevo A. 3. Zacaria J. 10. Vera S. 7. Stable Facundo N. 5. Enrique M. 11. Santiago M. 8. Garcia D. (C) 9. Rivero G.
Substitutes
20. Benega S. 14. Gamarra G. 15. Garcia M. 19. Maggi I. 13. Miers M. 12. Romero J. (G) 18. Vallejos I. 16. Vera M. 17. Zurita M.	14. Abreliano M. 20. Batallini M. 19. Bazan N. 13. Dattola A. 17. Escurra J. L. 12. Ferreyra N. (G) 16. Garcia J. 18. Guzman L. 15. Vazquez J.
Coaches
Perazzo W	Franco D.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Güemes is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Almirante Brown is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Almirante Brown could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Güemes will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Güemes won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Güemes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.08.23	Deportivo Morón - Güemes	1:1 ✺
30.07.23	Güemes - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
23.07.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Güemes	0:1 ✺
14.07.23	Güemes - Alvarado	0:2 ✺
09.07.23	Deportivo Flandria - Güemes	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TWWLL
- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.08.23	Almirante Brown - Patronato Parana	2:0 ✺
07.08.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Almirante Brown	4:1 ✺
29.07.23	Almirante Brown - Alvarado	1:0 ✺
23.07.23	Deportivo Flandria - Almirante Brown	0:2 ✺
15.07.23	Almirante Brown - San Martín de San Juan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.04.23	Almirante Brown - Güemes	0:1
24.04.22	Güemes - Almirante Brown	2:1

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