Match Info

Premier League - Second stage - Top 6 - Round 32

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Ta'Qali National Stadium (Ta' Qali)

Referee: Rizoski V. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Gżira United		Floriana

	1	X	2
	3.95	3.25	1.8	Watch
	4.14	3.24	1.89
	4.21	3.35	1.82	Watch
	3.6	3	2
	4.14	3.18	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↓ (4.85)	3.2 ↓ (3.75)	1.87 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gżira United
22.8%

Draw
28.5%

Floriana
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

24.1%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

23.7%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gżira United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Floriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Floriana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gżira United than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floriana than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Floriana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Gżira United - Floriana Predictions

Users Predictions: Floriana will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Colombo E. (G) 5. Abela D. 9. Andre Carlos 6. Borg A. 8. Borg B. 13. Failla C. (C) 10. Maxuell Samurai 3. Mentz G. 23. N’sa C. 14. Riascos L. 30. Xuereb D.	1. Picon P. (G) 4. Antonio Lara 25. Gamarra G. 8. Grech J. (C) 19. Jah M. 88. Mbong P. 34. Mendonca I. 24. M'Mombwa C. 11. Scerri Z. 10. Varela F. 21. Zammit Lonardelli C.
Substitutes
19. Bastic S. 57. Bonilla J. 28. Cassar N. 11. Farrugia D. 20. Galea K. (G) 98. Kante 7. Martinez S. 25. Previ A. 1. Sargent K. (G) 96. Stojanovic M. 22. Van de Bovenkamp M.	99. Attard D. 22. Chico Teixeira 23. Cioletti G. (G) 9. Dervisagic K. 14. Kurtalic A. 37. Micallef A. (G) 20. Piscopo E. 5. Rodgers G. 17. Spiteri O. 12. Vella D. 27. Vella Newell Z.
Coaches
Abdilla D.	Portela D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Jah M. ⚽,
37', Jah M. ↓, Dervisagic K. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Xuereb D. ↓, Kante ↑,
46', Antonio Lara ↓, Spiteri O. ↑,
46', Scerri Z. ↓, Kurtalic A. ↑,
57', Grech J. ↓, Vella D. ↑,
60', Gamarra G. 🟨,
68', Borg B. ↓, Martinez S. ↑,
78', M'Mombwa C. ↓, Chico Teixeira ↑,
80', Failla C. ↓, Van de Bovenkamp M. ↑,
85', Andre Carlos ↓, Farrugia D. ↑,
85', Riascos L. ↓, Cassar N. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gżira won 0.

Recent performances by Gżira have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Floriana is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Floriana is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gżira won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:25. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Gżira won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.4:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Floriana	6	4	1	1	16:7	9	13
11	Gzira	5	0	1	4	2:13	-11	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gżira United
Maltese Premier League
26.04.26	Gżira United - Naxxar Lions	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Marsaxlokk - Gżira United	2:1 ✺
15.04.26	Hamrun Spartans - Gżira United	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Valletta - Gżira United	2:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
04.04.26	Gżira United - Naxxar Lions	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TLWLW
- Floriana FC
Maltese Premier League
25.04.26	Floriana - Hamrun Spartans	1:4 ✺
18.04.26	Floriana - Valletta	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Marsaxlokk - Floriana	1:3 ✺
11.04.26	Naxxar Lions - Floriana	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Birkirkara - Floriana	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
08.02.26	Gżira United - Floriana	1:2
12.09.25	Floriana - Gżira United	1:1
08.03.25	Gżira United - Floriana	0:3
27.09.24	Floriana - Gżira United	2:1
Maltese FA Trophy
07.05.24	Floriana - Gżira United	3:2 penalties
Maltese Premier League
03.05.24	Gżira United - Floriana	3:1
21.01.24	Floriana - Gżira United	0:1

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