Match Info

Premier League - First stage - Play Out - Round 14

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)

Referee: Barbara E. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Gżira United		Tarxien Rainbows

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	3.5	3.85	Watch
	1.83	3.57	4.08
	1.79	3.62	3.95	Watch
	1.8	3.25	4
	1.77	3.36	4.19
	1.76	3.33	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.85)	3.44 ↓ (3.51)	3.98 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gżira United
50.8%

Draw
26.4%

Tarxien Rainbows
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

26.2%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

24.9%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gżira United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Tarxien Rainbows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gżira United than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarxien Rainbows than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Gżira United - Tarxien Rainbows Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gżira will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Tarxien will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gżira (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sargent K. (G) 5. Abela D. 9. Andre Carlos 57. Bonilla J. 6. Borg A. 8. Borg B. 13. Failla C. 98. Kante 3. Mentz G. (C) 14. Riascos L. 30. Xuereb D.	1. Cassar A. (C) 10. Claudio Murici 54. Costa G. 4. D'Alessandro M. 29. Donsu K. 23. Nhayson 9. Quitongo J. 6. Santos T. 7. Tavinho 74. Vella A. 3. Willian
Substitutes
2. Cassar N. 33. Colombo E. (G) 23. Dimech A. 4. Fonseca P. 20. Galea K. (G) 25. Ghigo G. 7. Martinez S. 29. Mifsud Z. 24. Roh S.	20. Borg L. 21. England W. 88. Gatt K. 77. Grima M. 37. Ibeh O. 18. Mizzi S. 94. Spiteri M. (G) 17. Vella G. 70. Wallisson Bahia 33. Xuereb P. 27. Zango L.
Coaches
Abdilla D.	Scerri J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+2', 0 - 1, Nhayson ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Costa G. ↓, Wallisson Bahia ↑,
46', Borg A. ↓, Fonseca P. ↑,
46', Borg B. ↓, Martinez S. ↑,
66', Nhayson 🟨,
67', Quitongo J. ↓, Grima M. ↑,
72', Failla C. 🟨,
73', D'Alessandro M. 🟨,
82', 1 - 1, Andre Carlos ⚽,
82', Andre Carlos 🟨,
84', Santos T. ↓, Ibeh O. ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Mentz G. (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', Bonilla J. ↓, Roh S. ↑,
90+2', Riascos L. 🟨,
90+3', Fonseca P. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gżira won 3.

Gżira has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tarxien has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Tarxien may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Gżira has had a series of home games.

In this match, Gżira is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Gżira will win today's game, with odds of 1.85.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Gżira won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:11. (average 2.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Gżira won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.9:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gżira United
Maltese Premier League
11.12.25	Gżira United - Naxxar Lions	3:1 ✺
24.11.25	Gżira United - Mosta	1:0 ✺
03.11.25	Gżira United - Naxxar Lions	2:1 ✺
28.10.25	Valletta - Gżira United	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Gżira United - Tarxien Rainbows	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWTW
- Tarxien Rainbows
Maltese Premier League
12.12.25	Paola Hibernians - Tarxien Rainbows	1:0 ✺
24.11.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Tarxien Rainbows	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Mosta	0:1 ✺
28.10.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Birkirkara	0:4 ✺
24.10.25	Gżira United - Tarxien Rainbows	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
24.10.25	Gżira United - Tarxien Rainbows	3:1
Club Friendly
11.07.25	Gżira United - Tarxien Rainbows	1:1
Maltese FA Trophy
02.03.21	Gżira United - Tarxien Rainbows	4:2 ET
Maltese Premier League
22.01.21	Tarxien Rainbows - Gżira United	0:2
26.09.20	Gżira United - Tarxien Rainbows	1:1
01.11.19	Tarxien Rainbows - Gżira United	0:5
12.01.19	Gżira United - Tarxien Rainbows	1:1

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