Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 29 November 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	BTV Action
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	beIN Sports
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Portugal	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	Prima Sport 1
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Galatasaray		Manchester United

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.6	2.45
	2.7	3.6	2.45
	2.7	3.75	2.52	Watch
	2.72	3.76	2.57
	2.68	3.76	2.57
	2.6	3.75	2.38
	2.69	3.78	2.45
	2.65	3.7	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.47)	3.71 ↓ (3.72)	2.49 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Network on TV: TUDN

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Current Win Probability

Galatasaray
35.8%

Draw
25.8%

Manchester United
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

25.6%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

25.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Galatasaray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	18.3%	48.3%

Galatasaray - Manchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Galatasaray will win (votes: 20 - 33.3%). Man Utd will win (votes: 29 - 48.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 18.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 35.7% – 60.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Muslera F. (C) 93. Boey S. 42. Bardakci A. 23. Ayhan K. 3. Angelino 34. Torreira L. 91. Ndombele T. 22. Ziyech H. 10. Mertens D. 14. Zaha W. 9. Icardi M.	24. Onana A. (G) 29. Wan-Bissaka A. 5. Maguire H. 2. Lindelof V. 23. Shaw L. 39. McTominay S. 4. Amrabat S. 21. Antony 8. Fernandes B. (C) 17. Garnacho A. 11. Hojlund R.
Substitutes
7. Akturkoglu K. 94. Bakambu C. 8. Demirbay K. 19. Guvenc G. (G) 88. Karatas K. 25. Nelsson V. 27. Oliveira S. 20. Tete 53. Yilmaz B. A.	1. Bayindir A. (G) 20. Dalot D. 44. Gore D. 22. Heaton T. (G) 52. Hugill J. 37. Mainoo K. 9. Martial A. 46. Mejbri H. 28. Pellistri F. 15. Reguilon S. 19. Varane R.
Coaches
Buruk O.	ten Hag E.

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Man Utd could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Man Utd: Casemiro (Hamstring Injury) Diallo A. (Knee Injury) Eriksen C. (Knee Injury) Evans J. (Injury) Malacia T. (Muscle Injury) Martinez Li. (Foot Injury) Mount M. (Injury) Rashford M. (Red Card) Sancho J. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Galatasaray: Sanchez D. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Man Utd: Antony (Knock)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Galatasaray won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Galatasaray won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Galatasaray
Turkish Super League
25.11.23	Galatasaray - Alanyaspor	4:0 ✺
11.11.23	Hatayspor - Galatasaray	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.11.23	Bayern Munich - Galatasaray	2:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
03.11.23	Galatasaray - Kasımpaşa	2:1 ✺
28.10.23	Çaykur Rizespor - Galatasaray	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLWW
- Manchester United
English Premier League
26.11.23	Everton - Manchester United	0:3 ✺
11.11.23	Manchester United - Luton Town	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.11.23	Copenhagen - Manchester United	4:3 ✺
English Premier League
04.11.23	Fulham - Manchester United	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
01.11.23	Manchester United - Newcastle United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
03.10.23	Manchester United - Galatasaray	2:3
Club Friendly
30.07.16	Galatasaray - Manchester United	2:5
UEFA Champions League
20.11.12	Galatasaray - Manchester United	1:0
19.09.12	Manchester United - Galatasaray	1:0

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