The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gamba Osaka 58.8%
Draw 22.7%
Albirex Niigata 18.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.7%
24.2%
20.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.4%
23.1%
19.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
94.4%
5.6%
0%
Gamba Osaka - Albirex Niigata Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Gamba Osaka (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -0.75 - Gamba Osaka (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Gamba Osaka will win
(17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%). Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gamba Osaka will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Gamba Osaka (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Ichimori J. (G) 3. Handa R. 20. Nakatani S. 2. Fukuoka S. 4. Kurokawa K. 13. Abe S. 51. Mitsuta M. 17. Yamashita R. 7. Usami T. 97. Welton 23. Hummet D.
21. Tashiro R. (G) 25. Fujiwara S. 5. Fitzgerald M. 15. Hayakawa F. 42. Hashimoto K. 28. Shimamura T. 22. Arai T. 8. Shirai E. 30. Okumura J. 41. Hasegawa M. 7. Taniguchi K.
Substitutes
1. Higashiguchi M. (G) 11. Jebali I. 47. Juan Alano 15. Kishimoto T. 10. Kurata S. 27. Mito R. 5. Miura G. 44. Okunuki K. 16. Suzuki T.
65. Boudah A. 1. Fujita K. (G) 2. Geria J. 31. Horigome Y. 55. Moraes 14. Ohara M. 33. Takagi Y. 50. Uemura H. 18. Wakatsuki Y.
Coaches
Poyatos D.
Irie T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Arai T. ⚽, Shimamura T. (A),
37', 1 - 1, Usami T. ⚽, Yamashita R. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
49', 1 - 2, Okumura J. ⚽, Hasegawa M. (A),
60', 2 - 2, Welton ⚽, Hummet D. (A),
61', Yamashita R. ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
61', Taniguchi K. ↓, Ohara M. ↑,
64', 3 - 2, Abe S. ⚽,
67', Okumura J. ↓, Boudah A. ↑,
67', Shimamura T. ↓, Moraes ↑,
75', 4 - 2, Hummet D. ⚽,
76', Mitsuta M. ↓, Suzuki T. ↑,
80', Arai T. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,
80', Hasegawa M. ↓, Wakatsuki Y. ↑,
83', Usami T. ↓, Mito R. ↑,
83', Hummet D. ↓, Jebali I. ↑,
83', Welton ↓, Okunuki K. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 3.
Gamba Osaka is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Niigata has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Niigata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Gamba Osaka has had a series of home games.
In this match, Gamba Osaka is the team to beat.
There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Sasaki S.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Niigata: Danilo Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Hoshi Y.
(Knee Injury)
We predict that Gamba Osaka will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:16. (average 1.8:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:5. (average 1.9:0.6).
China
Japan
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Ichimori J. (G) 
Welton 
Hummet D. 
Jebali I. 
Boudah A. 
Geria J. 
Poyatos D. 
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