Match Info

JAPAN: J1 League - Round 33

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Panasonic Stadium Suita (Suita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App
Australia	Optus Sport
China	K-Ball, QQ Sports
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan, NHK BS1
Nigeria	Sporty TV
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto


	Gamba Osaka		Consadole Sapporo

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	3.9	Watch
	1.93	3.7	3.6
	1.88	3.56	3.7	Watch
	1.97	3.77	3.82
	1.97	3.66	3.71	Watch
	1.85	3.7	3.5
	1.93	3.77	3.81	Watch
	1.9	3.65	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.82)	3.66 ↑ (3.58)	3.72 ↓ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gamba Osaka
49%

Draw
25.7%

Consadole Sapporo
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

26.5%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

25.9%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Consadole Sapporo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Consadole Sapporo than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Gamba Osaka - Consadole Sapporo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Consadole Sapporo will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Ichimori J. (G) 15. Kishimoto T. 20. Nakatani S. 2. Fukuoka S. 4. Kurokawa K. 23. Dawhan 27. Mito R. 17. Yamashita R. 9. Yamada K. 14. Fukuda Y. 13. Sakamoto I.	1. Sugeno T. (G) 25. Osaki L. 50. Okamura D. 3. Park Min-Gyu 33. Kondo T. 88. Baba S. 27. Arano T. 4. Suga D. 14. Komai Y. 11. Aoki R. 71. Shirai H.
Substitutes
24. Egawa Y. 3. Handa R. 25. Ishikawa K. (G) 10. Kurata S. 16. Suzuki T. 7. Usami T. 97. Welton	20. Bakayoko A. 70. Cann Avancado 8. Fukai K. 99. Kobayashi Y. 17. Kodama J. (G) 6. Nakamura T. 9. Sanchez J.
Coaches
Poyatos D.	Petrovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Shirai H. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Arano T. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
64', Yamashita R. ↓, Usami T. ↑,
65', Shirai H. ↓, Fukai K. ↑,
66', Fukuda Y. ↓, Welton ↑,
73', Kurokawa K. ↓, Handa R. ↑,
77', Kondo T. ↓, Bakayoko A. ↑,
77', Suga D. ↓, Nakamura T. ↑,
79', Mito R. ↓, Kurata S. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Usami T. (Pen),
90+8', 2 - 1, Usami T. ⚽, Yamada K. (A),

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gamba Osaka won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Gamba Osaka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gamba Osaka is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Gamba Osaka won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 32:22 (average 1.6:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Gamba Osaka won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23:13 (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League
02.10.24	Cerezo Osaka - Gamba Osaka	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Gamba Osaka - Tokyo Verdy	1:1 ✺
22.09.24	Kyoto Sanga - Gamba Osaka	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	Gamba Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
11.09.24	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LTTLW
- Consadole Sapporo
Japan J1 League
28.09.24	Consadole Sapporo - Kyoto Sanga	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Machida Zelvia - Consadole Sapporo	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Consadole Sapporo - Tokyo Verdy	0:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
08.09.24	Consadole Sapporo - Yokohama F. Marinos	3:1 ✺
04.09.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Consadole Sapporo	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
06.04.24	Consadole Sapporo - Gamba Osaka	1:0
02.09.23	Consadole Sapporo - Gamba Osaka	4:0
18.03.23	Gamba Osaka - Consadole Sapporo	2:2
26.06.22	Consadole Sapporo - Gamba Osaka	1:0
04.05.22	Gamba Osaka - Consadole Sapporo	0:0
02.10.21	Gamba Osaka - Consadole Sapporo	1:5
30.07.21	Consadole Sapporo - Gamba Osaka	0:2

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